Neptune is an end‑to‑end data‑driven framework that emulates global ocean and sea‑ice states for subseasonal‑to‑seasonal (S2S) forecasting up to 60 days. It combines Convolutional Neural Networks and Spherical Fourier Neural Operators to capture both local features and global cross‑scale interactions, producing daily outputs for temperature, salinity, currents, sea‑surface height, and sea‑ice metrics at 1° and 0.25° resolution. Evaluated against metrics such as RMSE, CRPS, ACC, and climate indices (ENSO, IOD), Neptune reproduces the spatio‑temporal evolution of oceanic fields and remains stable over long timescales.
By Davide Donno, Italo Epicoco, Massimo Cafaro, Gabriele Accarino, Mohammad M. Amirian, Viviana Acquaviva, Paola Nassisi, Doroteaciro Iovino, Annalisa Bracco, Simona Masina, Pierre Gentine
Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) forecasting is societally critical, supporting decision-making in sectors ranging from water and agricultural management to disaster risk reduction, energy planning, and...
arXiv:2606. 02610v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Ocean general circulation models (OGCMs) are essential to climate science but computationally expensive, limiting ensemble size and forcing scenarios.
By Yuan Yuan, Jesse Rusak, Alexander Merose, Adam Subel, Pavel Perezhogin, Alistair Adcroft, Carlos Fernandez-Granda, Laure Zanna
HClimRep‑Ocean is a machine‑learning emulator that operates directly on the native unstructured mesh of the FESOM2 ocean model, trained on a 209‑year AWI‑CM3 control run and run without atmospheric forcing except at initialization. It shows strong skill for current forecasts at 30‑day lead times, outperforming all references, while temperature and salinity forecasts are best served by a damped‑anomaly persistence approach. In independent OceanBench testing, a reanalysis‑trained variant achieves the lowest RMSE against GLORYS reanalysis, demonstrating the competitiveness of the native‑mesh approach.
By Kacper Nowak, Aleksei Koldunov, Nikolay Koldunov, Savvas Melidonis, Ankit Patnala, Simon Grasse, Julius Polz, Christian Lessig, Martin Schultz, Thomas Jung
The paper introduces SCOPE, a method for reconstructing high‑resolution digital elevation models (DEMs) from coarser‑resolution training pairs. SCOPE learns a continuous terrain representation by predicting a latent coefficient field on a low‑resolution grid and reusing local Fourier residual functions, thereby decoupling coefficient prediction from output‑grid construction. Experiments on diverse land–ocean datasets show that SCOPE outperforms competing methods across six metrics, reduces reconstruction error by about 12 % at three‑times‑unseen scale, and achieves these gains with only a modest increase in computational cost.
By Zekai Shi, Meng Zhang, Haokun Zhang, Bo Zhang
arXiv:2512.12142v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: The Greenland ice sheet is melting at an accelerated rate due to processes that are not fully understood and hard to measure. The distributio...
By Bj\"orn L\"utjens, Patrick Alexander, Raf Antwerpen, Til Widmann, Guido Cervone, Marco Tedesco
arXiv:2608. 10022v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The large-scale oceanic and atmospheric forecasts provided by global climate models typically lack sufficient resolution to accurately capture the response of the coastal ocean to atmospheric forcing and coastal circulation that drive fine-scale SST variability.
By Onkar Jadhav, Tim French, Ivica Janekovic, Nicole L. Jones, Matthew Rayson
arXiv:2606. 12141v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate forecasting of sea surface temperature (SST) in regional seas such as the East Sea is crucial for monitoring marine ecosystems, assessing climate risks, managing fisheries, and conducting naval operations.
By Sherkhon Azimov, Susana L\'opez-Moreno, Eric Dolores-Cuenca, JinYong Choi, Sangil Kim
arXiv:2607. 16731v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Marine biogeochemical forecasting is increasingly important for managing marine ecosystems and the carbon cycle, yet global, seasonal forecast products lag far behind physical oceanography, held back by the complexity of the processes involved and by data scarcity.
By Gabriela Martinez Balbontin, Anastase Charantonis, Dominique Bereziat, Stefano Ciavatta
arXiv:2608. 12271v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Global weather reanalyses and forecasts resolve the evolving atmospheric state on coarse grids, but site-specific applications require predictions at arbitrary locations where near-surface conditions also depend on unresolved terrain and land-surface properties.
By Pedro Sousa (Department of Computer Science, University of Cambridge), Will Tebbutt (Department of Engineering, University of Cambridge), Sadiq Jaffer (Department of Computer Science, University of Cambridge), Robin Young (Department of Computer Science, University of Cambridge), Anil Madhavapeddy (Department of Computer Science, University of Cambridge), Richard E. Turner (Department of Engineering, University of Cambridge)
arXiv:2609.13242v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Subgrid parametrizations of vertical mixing in ocean models depend on free coefficients that cannot be measured directly and must be calibrated again...
By Luben M. C. Cabezas, Sacha Wendling, Aur\`ele Gallard, Gabriel Mouttapa, Julien Le Sommer, Pedro L. C. Rodrigues
arXiv:2512. 03606v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Accurate marine wind forecasts are essential for safe navigation, ship routing, and energy operations, yet they remain challenging because observations over the ocean are sparse, heterogeneous, and temporally variable.
By Matteo Peduto, Qidong Yang, Jonathan Giezendanner, Devis Tuia, Sherrie Wang