arXiv:2606. 02610v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Ocean general circulation models (OGCMs) are essential to climate science but computationally expensive, limiting ensemble size and forcing scenarios.
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Neptune is an end‑to‑end data‑driven framework that emulates global ocean and sea‑ice states for subseasonal‑to‑seasonal (S2S) forecasting up to 60 days. It combines Convolutional Neural Networks and Spherical Fourier Neural Operators to capture both local features and global cross‑scale interactions, producing daily outputs for temperature, salinity, currents, sea‑surface height, and sea‑ice metrics at 1° and 0.25° resolution. Evaluated against metrics such as RMSE, CRPS, ACC, and climate indices (ENSO, IOD), Neptune reproduces the spatio‑temporal evolution of oceanic fields and remains stable over long timescales.
Subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) forecasting is societally critical, supporting decision-making in sectors ranging from water and agricultural management to disaster risk reduction, energy planning, and...
HClimRep‑Ocean is a machine‑learning emulator that operates directly on the native unstructured mesh of the FESOM2 ocean model, trained on a 209‑year AWI‑CM3 control run and run without atmospheric forcing except at initialization. It shows strong skill for current forecasts at 30‑day lead times, outperforming all references, while temperature and salinity forecasts are best served by a damped‑anomaly persistence approach. In independent OceanBench testing, a reanalysis‑trained variant achieves the lowest RMSE against GLORYS reanalysis, demonstrating the competitiveness of the native‑mesh approach.
arXiv:2608. 10277v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We present a stochastic coupled emulator of E3SM version 3, built on the SamudrACE framework, which couples an atmosphere emulator (ACE2) with a full-depth ocean emulator (Samudra).
OceanDepths is the first open, global, AI‑ready dataset that pairs satellite‑derived sea surface temperature, salinity, and height with co‑located EN4 subsurface temperature and salinity profiles, complemented by GLORYS12 reanalysis data. It covers 2000–2024 at 0.1°×0.1° spatial resolution and weekly temporal resolution, providing over 9.5 million paired profiles interpolated to 50 depth levels. The dataset’s 4‑D multivariate structure, high resolution, long temporal extent, and extreme sparsity of subsurface observations make it a challenging testbed for novel AI methods, with demonstrated use in subsurface state reconstruction and potential for observation‑based forecasting.
arXiv:2608. 10022v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The large-scale oceanic and atmospheric forecasts provided by global climate models typically lack sufficient resolution to accurately capture the response of the coastal ocean to atmospheric forcing and coastal circulation that drive fine-scale SST variability.