arXiv:2504. 18433v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Uncertainty quantification is crucial in machine learning, yet most (axiomatic) studies of uncertainty measures focus on classification, leaving a gap in regression settings with limited formal justification and evaluations.
By Christopher B\"ulte, Yusuf Sale, Timo L\"ohr, Paul Hofman, Gitta Kutyniok, Eyke H\"ullermeier
arXiv:2607. 14407v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Many signal processing systems ultimately exist to {act}.
By Osvaldo Simeone
arXiv:2606. 19353v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In-Context Learning (ICL) allows LLMs to adapt to new tasks from a few demonstrations, but its reliability remains a concern: predictions are highly sensitive to both prompt design and the model's ability to understand the context, obscuring whether failures arise from data properties or model limitations.
By Jinseok Chung, Minkyoung Song, Hyunji Jung, Namhoon Lee
arXiv:2602. 11219v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Predictive uncertainty is commonly decomposed into epistemic and aleatoric components, but standard decompositions often produce strongly correlated estimates because both quantities are derived from the same predictive distribution.
By Tanmoy Mukherjee, Marius Kloft, Pierre Marquis, Zied Bouraoui
arXiv:2607. 15196v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We present a novel viewpoint for uncertainty quantification.
By Raghad Alamri, Michele Caprio, Gavin Brown
arXiv:2608. 07630v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We adapt two classical statistical estimators for quantifying uncertainty to modern deep learning, in order to provide clearer insights into uncertainty attributable to two sources : aleatoric uncertainty, or locally scarce data.
By Pierre Nodet, Thomas George
arXiv:2606. 01363v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Model-based reinforcement learning (MBRL) infers information about the environment from a learned dynamics model and bears the potential to address open problems such as data efficient and safe learning in robotics.
By Bernd Frauenknecht, Devdutt Subhasish, Artur Eisele, Friedrich Solowjow, Sebastian Trimpe
arXiv:2505. 02743v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Real-world data contains aleatoric uncertainty - irreducible noise arising from imperfect measurements or from incomplete knowledge about the data generation process.
By Jiaxiang Yi, Miguel A. Bessa
arXiv:2608. 10398v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Variational autoencoders generate samples from probabilistic latent representations but do not distinguish uncertainty about the latent location from variability around it.
By Ge Wang
arXiv:2606. 10777v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Uncertainty estimation is critical for deploying machine learning models in high-stakes settings.
By Arthur Hoarau
arXiv:2509. 08846v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Evaluation of per-sample uncertainty quantification from neural networks is essential for decision-making involving high-risk applications.
By H. Martin Gillis, Isaac Xu, Thomas Trappenberg
arXiv:2603. 27270v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Credal sets, i.
By Xabier Gonzalez-Garcia, Siu Lun Chau, Julian Rodemann, Michele Caprio, Krikamol Muandet, Humberto Bustince, S\'ebastien Destercke, Eyke H\"ullermeier, Yusuf Sale