arXiv:2509. 08846v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Evaluation of per-sample uncertainty quantification from neural networks is essential for decision-making involving high-risk applications.
By H. Martin Gillis, Isaac Xu, Thomas Trappenberg
arXiv:2605. 00600v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Deep neural networks achieve impressive results across diverse applications, yet their overconfidence on unseen inputs necessitates reliable epistemic uncertainty modeling.
By Yao Ni, Jeremie Houssineau, Yew Soon Ong, Piotr Koniusz
arXiv:2602. 08142v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Machine learning applications require fast and reliable per-sample uncertainty estimation.
By H. Martin Gillis, Isaac Xu, Thomas Trappenberg
arXiv:2606. 15479v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Steerable convolutional neural networks (Steerable-CNNs) guarantee SE(3)-equivariance by parameterizing kernels as linear combinations of steerable basis functions, but their deterministic nature precludes uncertainty quantification - limiting their use in settings where confidence estimates are essential.
By Abhishek Keripale, Ponkrshnan Thiagarajan, Susanta Ghosh
arXiv:2608. 07630v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We adapt two classical statistical estimators for quantifying uncertainty to modern deep learning, in order to provide clearer insights into uncertainty attributable to two sources : aleatoric uncertainty, or locally scarce data.
By Pierre Nodet, Thomas George
arXiv:2606. 13818v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This thesis investigates how Bayesian principles can deepen our understanding of modern deep learning systems.
By Luis A. Ortega
arXiv:2412. 04177v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Recently, there has been an increasing interest in performing post-hoc uncertainty estimation about the predictions of pre-trained deep neural networks (DNNs).
By Luis A. Ortega, Sim\'on Rodr\'iguez-Santana, Daniel Hern\'andez-Lobato
arXiv:2602. 11219v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Predictive uncertainty is commonly decomposed into epistemic and aleatoric components, but standard decompositions often produce strongly correlated estimates because both quantities are derived from the same predictive distribution.
By Tanmoy Mukherjee, Marius Kloft, Pierre Marquis, Zied Bouraoui
We introduce an efficient Bayesian deep ensemble method for predictive regression designed to enhance interpretability while maintaining competitive predictive performance and computational efficiency. Our method combines the statistical rigor of Bayesian inference with the scalability of deep ensembles, providing calibrated uncertainty estimates that enable its use not only for standalone prediction but also as a component within broader learning systems.
arXiv:2607. 28248v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The deployment of deep neural networks in safety-critical domains demands reliable estimates of predictive confidence, yet conventional architectures lack principled uncertainty quantification.
By H. Martin Gillis, Thomas Trappenberg
arXiv:2607. 06776v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We introduce an efficient Bayesian deep ensemble method for predictive regression designed to enhance interpretability while maintaining competitive predictive performance and computational efficiency.
By Sina Aghaee Dabaghan Fard, Marie Maros, Jaesung Lee
arXiv:2412. 18980v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Uncertainty-aware deep learning (DL) models recently gained attention in fault diagnosis as a way to promote the reliable detection of faults when out-of-distribution (OOD) data arise from unseen faults (epistemic uncertainty) or the presence of noise (aleatoric uncertainty).
By Reza Jalayer, Masoud Jalayer, Andrea Mor, Carlotta Orsenigo, Carlo Vercellis