arXiv AI

ELVAE: Evidential Learning-Based Variational Autoencoder for Uncertainty-Aware Generation

arXiv:2608. 10398v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Variational autoencoders generate samples from probabilistic latent representations but do not distinguish uncertainty about the latent location from variability around it.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 19

Quantifying Aleatoric Uncertainty of In-Context Learning for Robust Measure of LLM Prediction Confidence

arXiv:2606. 19353v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In-Context Learning (ICL) allows LLMs to adapt to new tasks from a few demonstrations, but its reliability remains a concern: predictions are highly sensitive to both prompt design and the model's ability to understand the context, obscuring whether failures arise from data properties or model limitations.

By Jinseok Chung, Minkyoung Song, Hyunji Jung, Namhoon Lee
arXiv Machine Learning
1d ago

Robust Evidential Learning Through Latent Consistency

The paper introduces CLEAR, a lightweight, task‑agnostic post‑hoc method that enhances evidential robustness in deep learning models without retraining. CLEAR uses held‑out calibration data to map the geometry of the model’s latent space, then generates perturbation views at inference to detect latent conflict. When high conflict is found, CLEAR selectively reduces evidential strength while preserving evidence for latent‑consistent inputs, achieving significant improvements in OOD and adversarial AUROC on ImageNet→CUB and running much faster than competing methods.

By Charmaine Barker, Daniel Bethell, Simos Gerasimou
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 26

It depends: Incorporating correlations for joint aleatoric and epistemic uncertainties of high-dimensional output spaces

arXiv:2608.24518v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) plays a vital role in enhancing the reliability of deep learning model predictions, especially in scenarios with high-d...

By Leonhard F. Feiner, Manuel Nickel, Martin Menten, Laurin Lux, Rickmer Braren, Daniel Rueckert, Georgios Kaissis, Raphael Rehms, Johannes Paetzold