arXiv:2606. 10777v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Uncertainty estimation is critical for deploying machine learning models in high-stakes settings.
arXiv:2504. 18433v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Uncertainty quantification is crucial in machine learning, yet most (axiomatic) studies of uncertainty measures focus on classification, leaving a gap in regression settings with limited formal justification and evaluations.
arXiv:2606. 11988v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The distinction between aleatoric and epistemic uncertainty has received considerable attention in machine learning research, mainly in the context of supervised learning but also in other settings such as generative modeling.
arXiv:2607. 15196v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We present a novel viewpoint for uncertainty quantification.
arXiv:2606. 26990v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Uncertainty estimates in machine learning are typically evaluated using generic metrics such as the negative log-likelihood and expected calibration error, yet good performance on such metrics does not necessarily imply high utility in downstream decisions.
The review examines how Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) can enhance machine learning applied to biosignals such as EEG, ECG, EOG, and EMG. It surveys 53 papers, outlining current methods, shortcomings, and theoretical frameworks, while highlighting misconceptions and gaps in diagnostic and prosthetic control contexts. The authors recommend further research on human-system interaction with UQ models in clinical settings.
arXiv:2606. 19569v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is essential for reliable decision-making in safety-critical applications in probabilistic machine learning.
arXiv:2608. 05995v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Reliable uncertainty estimates are critical in safety-sensitive applications, where understanding the sources of predictive uncertainty is essential.
arXiv:2607. 14817v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Current evaluation of epistemic uncertainty relies on tasks such as out-ofdistribution detection and active learning.
Objective: We investigate whether accounting for epistemic uncertainty can improve the reliability of automated defect detection in medical device manufacturing. Methods: We consider a machine learnin...
arXiv:2606. 19353v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In-Context Learning (ICL) allows LLMs to adapt to new tasks from a few demonstrations, but its reliability remains a concern: predictions are highly sensitive to both prompt design and the model's ability to understand the context, obscuring whether failures arise from data properties or model limitations.
The paper introduces egRUE, an explainable uncertainty estimation method that merges uncertainty quantification with feature‑level explanations for medical AI predictions. egRUE incorporates prediction explanations into its uncertainty calculation and decomposes uncertainty into contributions from individual features. Experiments and a user study with medical experts show that egRUE improves reliability, interpretability, and calibrated trust compared to existing methods.