arXiv Machine Learning By Behnaz Kavoosighafi, Maria Eidenskog, Wiktoria Glad, Katerina Vrotsou

An Empirical Benchmark of Deep Time-Series Models for Smart Meter Energy Forecasting

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The paper presents an empirical benchmark of nine modern deep‑learning models for time‑series forecasting of smart‑meter energy consumption, evaluated on two publicly available datasets. It examines how historical input length, prediction horizon, and model architecture affect accuracy, finding that longer historical context improves performance up to a saturation point and that accuracy declines with longer horizons. The study also compares computational complexity, showing that lightweight architectures achieve similar performance to heavier models, and notes that model choice has limited impact across most demographic and household subgroups.

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