arXiv Statistics ML

Bias-Aware Adjoint Calibration and Optimal Control of Stochastic Multiscale Bioprocess Digital Twins

arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 8

Adjoint-Based Calibration and Optimal Control of Stochastic Multiscale Bioprocess Digital Twins

The paper presents a bias-aware digital‑twin calibration and control framework for multiscale bioprocess models, using stochastic differential equations and quasi‑likelihood estimation with adjoint sensitivity analysis. It introduces SDE generator‑based moment expansions to quantify truncation‑induced parameter bias and forward‑backward adjoints to trace how calibration uncertainty affects value functions and policy performance. An Actor‑Simulator algorithm is proposed to jointly update model parameters, select informative experiments, and optimize control policies, achieving improved calibration accuracy, sample efficiency, and control performance in numerical studies.

By Keilung Choy, Wei Xie
arXiv AI
Jul 21

A Continual Validation, Updating, and Decision-Making Framework for Self-Adaptive Digital Twins via Robust Model Predictive Control: A Case Study in Additive Manufacturing

arXiv:2607. 18164v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Digital Twins rely on surrogate models to mirror physical systems in real time, yet these models can degrade as operating conditions evolve, a phenomenon known as concept drift.

By Yi-Ping Chen, Ying-Kuan Tsai, Vispi Karkaria, Seul Lee, Daniel Apley, Wei Chen
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 16

Graphical conditional generative modeling for digital twin modeling

arXiv:2606. 16219v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Digital twin modeling, including control and data assimilation under model uncertainty, often faces an open-ended fidelity problem: adding variables, data streams, and time scales can indefinitely increase model complexity, ultimately producing systems that are difficult to maintain, validate, interpret, and use for stress or safety testing.

By Zongren Zou, Th\'eo Bourdais, Ricardo Baptista, Houman Owhadi
arXiv AI
Aug 24

A Hybrid Edge Cloud Digital Twin for Welfare-Constrained Control in Poultry Production

The paper presents a hybrid edge‑cloud digital twin for welfare‑constrained environmental control in poultry farms. It combines distributed sensing, on‑device state estimation, a physics‑based thermodynamic model with a learned residual, and model predictive control to adaptively manage temperature and ammonia levels. Experiments in a broiler testbed show significant improvements: temperature prediction error drops from 1.8 °C to 0.4 °C, ammonia violations fall by 90 %, and communication needs are reduced 30‑fold, with a Domain Transfer Score of 0.92 indicating strong cross‑facility robustness.

By Suresh Neethirajan
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 18

A Human-in-the-Loop Bayesian Optimization Framework for Constraint-Aware Bioprocess Development

arXiv:2606. 19230v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This work presents an extension to Pareto Front Guided Sampling (PFGS), a Human-in-the-Loop (HitL) Bayesian Optimization (BO) framework in which Gaussian process (GP) surrogate-derived quantities are reformulated as objectives of a multi-objective optimization problem, and the resulting Pareto front is exposed to a domain expert for interactive candidate selection rather than returning a single automated recommendation.

By Samuel Stricker, Claus Wirnsperger, Alessandro Butt\'e, Laura Helleckes, Gonzalo Guill\'en Gos\'albez, Antonio del Rio Chanona, Mehmet Mercang\"oz
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jun 17

A Human-in-the-Loop Bayesian Optimization Framework for Constraint-Aware Bioprocess Development

This work presents an extension to Pareto Front Guided Sampling (PFGS), a Human-in-the-Loop (HitL) Bayesian Optimization (BO) framework in which Gaussian process (GP) surrogate-derived quantities are reformulated as objectives of a multi-objective optimization problem, and the resulting Pareto front is exposed to a domain expert for interactive candidate selection rather than returning a single automated recommendation. The framework is extended in two directions: constrained optimization is addressed by incorporating the posterior probability of satisfying output specification limits as an explicit Pareto objective, computed analytically from the GP posterior distribution; robust optimization is addressed by a Monte Carlo sampling strategy that estimates expected lower-confidence performance over a user-defined variability of input perturbations, capturing performance degradation under likely implementation deviations.

arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 15

NeuronSifter: An Agent-in-Twin for Prioritizing Central Nervous System Interventions with World Action Models

NeuronSifter is a decision‑centric Agent‑in‑Twin framework that uses an evolving biological digital twin instead of a fixed predictive model to prioritize central nervous system interventions. It compiles interventions into state‑conditional target‑occupancy representations, propagates them through a mechanism‑grounded World Action Model, and selects informative measurements to reduce decision uncertainty. The system is evaluated on Alzheimer’s disease scenarios, demonstrating adaptive evidence acquisition, uncertainty‑aware planning, and robustness to model discrepancy, while continuously refining its decision‑relevant representations with externally verified evidence.

By Haowei Xu, Wanyi Fu, Hongbin Han, Zhaoheng Xie