arXiv:2608. 10050v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Small and medium-sized businesses need timely financial guidance, yet historical accounting logs record self-selected and often co-occurring business changes rather than randomized recommendations.
Generating actionable financial advice from business records demands that models integrate numerical reasoning, domain knowledge, and sound judgment, while avoiding recommendations that could harm the business. Direct supervision is difficult: historical decisions are not necessarily optimal, and high-quality free-form labels are expensive to obtain.
arXiv:2608. 11787v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Generating actionable financial advice from business records demands that models integrate numerical reasoning, domain knowledge, and sound judgment, while avoiding recommendations that could harm the business.
PaGNet is a hybrid panel‑aware model that combines a LightGBM branch with panel‑temporal summaries and a Panel‑MLP branch using attention‑pooled aggregation and shared‑trunk multi‑task learning. It produces predictions for corporate tax avoidance proxies while providing a per‑target diagnostic that indicates which branch contributed most to each forecast. On a panel of 1,754 Korean firms, PaGNet improves explained variance over six baselines by 0.08–0.11 on key accrual targets and demonstrates stable routing and diagnostic consistency across different feature regimes.
arXiv:2607. 24889v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Financial models combine public disclosures with analyst assumptions to produce forecasts and valuations.
FinRiskAtlas is a Chinese-language benchmark designed to evaluate large language models (LLMs) for financial risk review by focusing on decision‑aligned tasks rather than generic financial knowledge. It contains 9,742 instances across 53 task families, including 42 domain‑knowledge families and 11 downstream review operations defined by explicit evaluation contracts. The extended FinRisk‑Ask framework replays 680 pre‑action states from 104 professional trajectories, withholding future evidence during inference to assess evidence‑state control and request targeting. Results across 33 model configurations show that operation‑level evaluation yields distinct rankings and that knowledge‑based shortlisting can incur significant regret, while frequent use of the Ask branch does not necessarily improve evidence acquisition, highlighting gaps in broad financial capability scores.
arXiv:2607. 18867v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models leak parametric knowledge of realized outcomes into historical financial decision tasks.
arXiv:2604. 27374v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: As LLMs become credible readers of earnings calls, investor-relations Q\&A, guidance, and disclosure language, supervised financial NLP benchmarks increasingly function as decision evidence for model selection and deployment.
arXiv:2609.36914v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Post-training has been shown to significantly improve language models' performance on tasks with verifiable outcomes, including mathematical reasoning,...
The paper explores how large language models (LLMs) can forecast a firm’s future financial performance by integrating alternative data—such as consumer transactions, web traffic, and prediction markets—with traditional financial information. A two‑agent framework is proposed: one agent identifies which alternative data channels are relevant for each firm, and the other uses firm‑ and channel‑specific context to predict revenue. Experiments across four commercial alternative data channels show that incorporating alternative data in context improves LLM forecasts over using either data source alone and outperforms standard forecasting baselines.
The paper audits the impact of temporal leakage on financial-news direction prediction across 49,799 articles and 16 feature-model combinations, including TF‑IDF, MiniLM, FinBERT, and fine‑tuned RoBERTa‑large / DeBERTa‑v3‑large, as well as zero/few‑shot and LoRA probes of Llama‑3 and Qwen2.5. Random train‑test splits inflate MCC scores by 1.1× to 6.5×, with larger models and richer features showing greater gains, while end‑to‑end FinBERT fine‑tuning actually increases the gap. Only the mergers and acquisitions (M&A) category shows a positive locked‑test signal under near‑temporal chronological evaluation, with the signal localized to 2024‑2025 European‑tilted M&A semantics and not transferring to a 2009‑2020 U.S. corpus.
arXiv:2602. 07294v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: With the increasing deployment of Large Language Models (LLMs) in the finance domain, LLMs are increasingly expected to parse complex regulatory disclosures.
arXiv:2608. 07037v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Small businesses often have only 12-24 months of accounting history, yet planning and risk workflows require coordinated forecasts across financial statements.