arXiv:2608. 02893v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Counterfactual inference approaches for sequential decision-making typically assume deterministic causal models, where all randomness stems from latent variables.
By Jessica Lally, Milad Kazemi, Nicola Paoletti, David Watson, Sander Beckers
arXiv:2607. 02206v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Predictions are increasingly used to guide high-stakes decisions, from treatment selection to policy making.
By Yurui Zheng, Ying Jin
arXiv:2606. 01051v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Dynamic medical treatment requires deciding treatment intensity and intervention timing, while patient states evolve continuously and adverse events may occur between clinical interactions.
By Xun Shen, Yuepeng Wang, Akifumi Wachi, Yongqi Zhou, Richard Weiss, Yoshihiko Fujisawa, Ken Kawano, Mehrshad Sadria, Ying Chen, Xin Liu, Sebastien Gros, Xiao Hu, Kyoung-Sook Kim, Mengmou Li, Katsuki Fujisawa, Kenji Wakabayashi
arXiv:2606. 07399v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Generative models for counterfactual outcomes have great potential to support decision-making under complex interventions, but existing approaches are limited by unstable estimation, poor generalization across environments, and bias from nuisance model misspecification.
By Raphael C Kim, Jingsen Zhu, Ramin Zabih, Michele Santacatterina
arXiv:2606. 05551v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Reliable decision making pipelines powered by machine learning models require uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods that come with explicit safety guarantees.
By Zihan Zhu, Shayan Kiyani, George Pappas. Hamed Hassani
arXiv:2510. 07750v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Robust optimization safeguards decisions against uncertainty by optimizing against worst-case scenarios, yet their effectiveness hinges on a prespecified robustness level that is often chosen ad hoc, leading to either insufficient protection or overly conservative and costly solutions.
By Wenbin Zhou, Shixiang Zhu
arXiv:2607. 21806v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Predictive machine learning (ML) models are increasingly used to aid human decision-makers across various high-risk domains such as healthcare and criminal justice.
By Jonathan Zhang, Erik Skalnes, Jacob Chen, Michael Oberst
arXiv:2608. 13209v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Many operational decisions are sequences of interventions under a cumulative resource limit, such as a maintenance schedule within a crew-hour budget.
By Minkyoung Kim, Beakcheol Jang
arXiv:2505. 08908v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Many researchers apply classical statistical decision theory to evaluate treatment choices and learn optimal policies.
By Benedikt Koch, Kosuke Imai
arXiv:2606. 13884v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Modern decision systems increasingly rely on learned components whose outputs may be confident yet wrong, exposing downstream actions to costly errors.
By Laxmipriya Ganesh Iyer, Rahul Suresh Babu
arXiv:2603. 02196v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: An agent must try new behaviors to explore and improve.
By Drew Prinster, Clara Fannjiang, Ji Won Park, Kyunghyun Cho, Anqi Liu, Suchi Saria, Samuel Stanton
arXiv:2608. 03028v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Applying a valid medication-safety rule when its patient-specific conditions are not met can produce an incorrect decision.
By Zhitian Hou, Yuhang Liu, Pengkai Wang, Zeyu Liu, Guanghao Zhu, Zheng Liu, Shuo Cai, Congkai Xie, Zhijie Sang, Kun Zeng, Hongxia Yang