arXiv:2607. 02206v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Predictions are increasingly used to guide high-stakes decisions, from treatment selection to policy making.
By Yurui Zheng, Ying Jin
The paper introduces a score‑calibrated robustness framework that transforms any fixed point predictor into a decision‑relevant uncertainty representation using distribution‑free conformal calibration. By employing the conformal score as the core unit of robustness, the authors derive both reliability‑based robust optimization and target‑oriented Conformal Robust Satisficing formulations, linking them through a shared robust decision frontier and a fragility measure. Experiments on synthetic data and a real online‑grocery inventory case study demonstrate the framework’s ability to improve reliability, reduce costs, and provide interpretable uncertainty scales for black‑box predictors.
By Lingjie Zhao, Hansheng Jiang, Wei Qi
arXiv:2605.08506v3 Announce Type: replace
Abstract: Robust optimization (RO) provides a principled framework for decision-making under uncertainty, but its performance critically depends on the choic...
By Shuyi Chen, Wenbin Zhou, Shixiang Zhu
arXiv:2606. 05551v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Reliable decision making pipelines powered by machine learning models require uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods that come with explicit safety guarantees.
By Zihan Zhu, Shayan Kiyani, George Pappas. Hamed Hassani
arXiv:2608.29789v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Uncertainty quantification from finite data is central to machine learning, optimization, and automation systems, where decisions must remain reliabl...
By Kehan Long, Yiqi Zhao, Pol Mestres, Lars Lindemann, Nikolay Atanasov, Jorge Cort\'es
arXiv:2609. 11073v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Data-driven distributionally robust optimization (DRO) typically treats the conditional outcome law as fixed and uses ambiguity sets to capture estimation error.
By Luhao Zhang, Shixiang Zhu