arXiv:2607. 21806v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Predictive machine learning (ML) models are increasingly used to aid human decision-makers across various high-risk domains such as healthcare and criminal justice.
By Jonathan Zhang, Erik Skalnes, Jacob Chen, Michael Oberst
arXiv:2608. 02893v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Counterfactual inference approaches for sequential decision-making typically assume deterministic causal models, where all randomness stems from latent variables.
By Jessica Lally, Milad Kazemi, Nicola Paoletti, David Watson, Sander Beckers
arXiv:2607. 14940v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We study causal inference under outcome interference for sequential, observational settings.
By Phevos Paschalidis, Constantinos Daskalakis, Devavrat Shah
arXiv:2606. 03332v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Probabilistic models are typically trained using task-agnostic objectives like log-loss, which can lead to significant errors in downstream estimation.
By Roman Plaud, Alexandre Perez-Lebel, Antoine Saillenfest, Thomas Bonald, Marine Le Morvan, Ga\"el Varoquaux, Matthieu Labeau
arXiv:2607. 05620v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In many decision-making settings, new interventions are acceptable only if they do not reduce outcomes below some established threshold.
By Katherine Avery, Bruno Castro da Silva, David Jensen
arXiv:2603. 02204v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Selective conformal prediction can yield substantially tighter uncertainty sets when we can identify calibration examples that are exchangeable with the test example.
By Amir Asiaee, Kavey Aryan, James P. Long