arXiv Machine Learning

Reconstructing GRACE Terrestrial Water Storage with Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Networks: An Application to South America

arXiv:2606. 23833v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Terrestrial water storage (TWS) integrates snow, soil moisture, surface water, and groundwater and is a key indicator of how climate variability and human activity reshape the global water cycle.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Sep 10

A Dataset and Model for Imputing Water Surface Elevation on a Large and Extremely Sparse Spatiotemporal Graph

The paper introduces AmazonSWE, a dataset covering over 19,000 river sections in the Amazon basin for 10 years, combining satellite altimetry and in‑situ gauge data to enable large‑scale spatiotemporal graph imputation. The authors highlight the extreme sparsity of observations—less than 1% of sections per day—and the directed acyclic topology of river networks, which challenge existing imputation methods. They propose a bidirectional selective state‑space model that samples connected subgraphs and uses topology‑aware positional encodings, achieving 18–39% lower RMSE than the current state‑of‑the‑art SWOT‑based approach while providing predictions for all river sections.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 11

A Dataset and Model for Imputing Water Surface Elevation on a Large and Extremely Sparse Spatiotemporal Graph

The paper introduces AmazonSWE, a dataset covering over 19,000 river sections in the Amazon basin for 10 years (2016‑2026) that integrates satellite altimetry, including SWOT, to enable large‑scale spatiotemporal graph imputation. The dataset is extremely sparse—fewer than 1% of sections are observed daily—and features a directed acyclic river topology that is larger and structurally distinct from existing benchmarks. The authors demonstrate that conventional imputation methods struggle with this topology, scale, and sparsity, and propose a bidirectional selective state‑space model that outperforms prior approaches, reducing RMSE against in‑situ gauges by 18‑39% and providing predictions for every river section. whyItMatters":"AmazonSWE offers a novel, real‑world use case that could improve flood forecasting and water resource management by enabling more accurate and comprehensive water surface elevation estimates across a vast, sparsely monitored river network."

By Ruben Cartuyvels, Karim Douch, Gabriele Bertoli, Mounia El Baz, Artemis Vrettou, S\'ebastien Lef\`evre, Diego Fernandez Prieto
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 22

Gaussian Process Decorrelation for Spatiotemporal Deep Learning-Based Snow Water Equivalent Prediction

The paper proposes a method for predicting future snow water equivalent (SWE) across the Western United States by first removing spatial correlations using a Gaussian Process-based linear transformation, then training a long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network on the decorrelated data. This separation of spatial and temporal components improves predictive accuracy compared to baseline models. Additionally, the authors incorporate conformal prediction to provide distribution‑free uncertainty estimates for SWE forecasts.

By Colin Fenster, Adrienne Marshall, Soutir Bandyopadhyay, Daniel McKenzie
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 30

From Conceptual Hydrologic Models to Conceptually Interpretable Neural Networks: A Snow-Water Mass-Conserving-Perceptron Framework for Discovering Catchment-Scale Precipitation-Storage-Runoff Representations

arXiv:2607. 26492v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The Mass-Conserving Perceptron (MCP) establishes a modeling paradigm in which conceptual hydrologic models can be reformulated as physically constrained, conceptually interpretable neural networks.

By Yuan-Heng Wang, Hoshin V. Gupta
arXiv AI
Sep 7

Predicting Spatiotemporal Mobile Sensing-Based PM2.5 Concentrations Using Low-Rank Adapted Spatially Attentive Graph Neural Network

This study presents a new mobile‑sensing dataset from Surat, India, capturing PM2.5 concentrations along with meteorological and land‑use variables. The authors model the data as a graph using two node‑definition strategies—uniform segmentation and DBSCAN clustering—and introduce a Spatially Attentive Graph Neural Network (SA‑GNN) that combines cluster‑specific GRUs with a Graph Attention Network to forecast fine‑grained, short‑term PM2.5 levels. SA‑GNN outperforms traditional LSTM, RNN, GRU, and ANN baselines, achieving an R² of 0.95, RMSE of 6.8, and MAE of 4.2 µg/m³ on the dataset.

By Om Chiddarwar, Priyanka Mandal, Praveen Kumar Chandaliya, Shriniwas Arkatkar
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 13

Earth observation embeddings are effective sub-grid descriptors for probabilistic weather downscaling

arXiv:2608. 12271v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Global weather reanalyses and forecasts resolve the evolving atmospheric state on coarse grids, but site-specific applications require predictions at arbitrary locations where near-surface conditions also depend on unresolved terrain and land-surface properties.

By Pedro Sousa (Department of Computer Science, University of Cambridge), Will Tebbutt (Department of Engineering, University of Cambridge), Sadiq Jaffer (Department of Computer Science, University of Cambridge), Robin Young (Department of Computer Science, University of Cambridge), Anil Madhavapeddy (Department of Computer Science, University of Cambridge), Richard E. Turner (Department of Engineering, University of Cambridge)