arXiv Machine Learning By Colin Fenster, Adrienne Marshall, Soutir Bandyopadhyay, Daniel McKenzie

Gaussian Process Decorrelation for Spatiotemporal Deep Learning-Based Snow Water Equivalent Prediction

Read the original on arXiv Machine Learning →

The paper proposes a method for predicting future snow water equivalent (SWE) across the Western United States by first removing spatial correlations using a Gaussian Process-based linear transformation, then training a long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network on the decorrelated data. This separation of spatial and temporal components improves predictive accuracy compared to baseline models. Additionally, the authors incorporate conformal prediction to provide distribution‑free uncertainty estimates for SWE forecasts.

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