Conventional traction control architectures intervene only after the adhesion limit of a tire has already been breached. This paper investigates whether Rolling Split Conformal Prediction , monitoring the volatility of non-conformity residuals from a per-driver Random Forest model of expected slip behavior , can serve as a statistically grounded pre-incident warning signal, ahead of gross traction loss.
arXiv:2607. 02124v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Conventional traction control architectures intervene only after the adhesion limit of a tire has already been breached.
arXiv:2607. 02722v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Predicting thermal volatility in high-performance EV powertrains is difficult as internal temperatures are rarely observable outside the lab, and models calibrated on lab drive cycles fail when deployed against real-world loads.
arXiv:2609.11592v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Transportation agencies increasingly predict crash-injury severity with statistical and machine-learning models, but these models do not state how...
arXiv:2606. 11949v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We present an online monitoring system for distributional shift in deployed safety classifiers, using calibrated sequential statistics to detect when a classifier has moved out of distribution.
arXiv:2607. 13319v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: High-speed off-road autonomy requires precise closed-loop control for a target vehicle while remaining robust across changing terrains.
arXiv:2606. 10583v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We present NOVA, an autonomous symbolic regression framework that identifies interpretable car-following and lane-change structures from raw trajectory data with minimal behavioral priors.
arXiv:2606. 02762v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Knowledge of real-time road slipperiness, or even better, a refined estimate of peak grip potential, is a critical input for vehicle warning and intervention control systems.
arXiv:2606. 14238v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Safety certification of Vision-Language-Action (VLA) driving planners under ISO 21448 (SOTIF) rests on an Operational Design Domain (ODD) specification that answers two complementary questions: when does the planner start to fail, and how severely does it fail once it does?
The paper proposes a proactive approach to road safety in Greater Sydney by using connected vehicle telemetry to predict risky driving events before crashes occur. It quantifies risky driving with g‑force thresholds and builds spatio‑temporal heatmaps to locate high‑risk zones. Eight predictive models were compared, with ARIMA achieving the lowest error and showing that simple time‑series methods can rival deep learning when data are limited, highlighting the value of IoT data for targeted safety interventions.
CS-WCP introduces confidence‑set weighted conformal prediction to provide robust prediction sets for large‑language‑model judges when deployment traffic shifts the prevalence of task or policy groups. By constructing simultaneous exact intervals for source and target group masses and taking the union over all compatible ratio vectors, CS‑WCP achieves high coverage (mean 0.973) with few failures across 336 constructed traffic shifts, outperforming standard source conformal prediction. The method offers an auditable coverage safeguard under uncertain mixture weights, focusing on conservative tail protection rather than tighter set sizes.
arXiv:2608. 04896v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Defensive driving scores are useful only when they preserve distinctions between policies that observe surrounding actors and those that do not.
arXiv:2607. 20549v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Trajectory datasets used in ADAS evaluation are heavily biased toward routine driving; genuine vehicle-to-vehicle conflict events are rare, and the rarer the event, the higher the cost when an ADAS system fails to handle it.