arXiv AI

Causal inference for group-contaminated structured outcomes: observable quotients, lossless reduction and exact randomization inference

arXiv:2608. 11954v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Structured potential outcomes such as microscopy images may be recorded after an unknown, unit-specific transformation.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Jul 21

Equilibrium Causal Games: Separation, Identification, and the Identifiability of Cyclic Latent States

Power grids, markets, and interacting populations, settle into feedback driven equilibria observed through unknown sensors. Our Equilibrium Causal Game (ECG) joins a game to its cyclic causal model, hidden inputs, sensor map, and rules for interventions and equilibrium selection; interventions edit declared objects and recompute equilibrium.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 28

Beyond ICA: Identifiability by Symmetry Breaking

arXiv:2607. 23182v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We prove the identifiability of deep generative models (DGMs) with piecewise-affine (PWA) decoders and Gaussian mixture model (GMM) priors, in a purely unsupervised setting.

By Pengzhou Wu
arXiv Statistics ML
Aug 25

Model-Agnostic Covariate-Assisted Inference on Partially Identified Causal Effects

The paper introduces a model‑agnostic inference framework for partially identified causal effects that leverages covariate information without requiring discrete covariates or accurate conditional distribution estimates. Using duality theory for optimal transport, the method delivers uniformly valid inference in randomized experiments, is doubly robust in observational settings, achieves asymptotic unbiasedness when nuisance parameters converge semiparametrically, and allows multiplier‑bootstrap selection of covariates and models while remaining computationally efficient. Empirical applications show the approach consistently narrows identified sets and confidence intervals without imposing extra structural assumptions.

By Wenlong Ji, Lihua Lei, Asher Spector
arXiv Statistics ML
Aug 27

Barycentric Weak Inner-Product Gromov-Wasserstein

The paper introduces a weak Gromov-Wasserstein (wGW) framework that compares source relations with relations between target conditional laws, focusing on inner-product relations and preserving conditional means. It defines the barycentric weak inner-product GW (wIGW) distance, proves existence of minimizers under finite second moments, and presents a ridge-regularized dual formulation leading to an iterative algorithm for finitely supported measures. Experiments on point clouds, graphs, and a PBMC multiome study demonstrate that mean-preserving target refinements can incur zero cost and improve atlas-based cell type transfer.

By Youssef Mroueh