The paper introduces a model‑agnostic inference framework for partially identified causal effects that leverages covariate information without requiring discrete covariates or accurate conditional distribution estimates. Using duality theory for optimal transport, the method delivers uniformly valid inference in randomized experiments, is doubly robust in observational settings, achieves asymptotic unbiasedness when nuisance parameters converge semiparametrically, and allows multiplier‑bootstrap selection of covariates and models while remaining computationally efficient. Empirical applications show the approach consistently narrows identified sets and confidence intervals without imposing extra structural assumptions.
By Wenlong Ji, Lihua Lei, Asher Spector
arXiv:2312. 14889v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: In this paper we revisit the classical method of partitioning classification and prove novel convergence rates under relaxed conditions, both for observable (non-privatised) and for privatised data.
By Bal\'azs Csan\'ad Cs\'aji, L\'aszl\'o Gy\"orfi, Ambrus Tam\'as, Harro Walk
arXiv:2606. 30372v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Quantitative research across the social and behavioral sciences depends on human subject experiments that are expensive, slow, and subject to sampling bias.
By Haobo Yang
arXiv:2104. 11547v5 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Statistical models contain variables that are not random: parameters, treatments, environments, design points.
By Patrick Forr\'e
arXiv:2608.24602v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Probabilistic models of Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) with latent variables impose equality constraints on the observed data distribution beyond ord...
By Razieh Nabi, Anna Guo, Lin Liu
arXiv:2607. 08444v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In this paper, we study quantile-based distributional reinforcement learning from the perspective of statistical efficiency.
By Zijie Cheng, Yang Peng, Zhihua Zhang
arXiv:2607. 22889v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Learning the natural parameters $z \in \mathbb{R}^n$ of discrete distributions $\mu_z$ from independent samples constrained to a subset $S \subseteq \{0,1\}^n$ is a foundational challenge in high-dimensional statistics.
By Rohan Chauhan, Ioannis Panageas
arXiv:2602. 17894v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Data collection is a critical component of modern statistical and machine learning pipelines, particularly when data must be gathered from multiple heterogeneous sources to study a target population of interest.
By Michael O. Harding, Vikas Singh, Kirthevasan Kandasamy
arXiv:2407. 00966v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: In traditional models of supervised learning, the goal of a learner-- given examples from an arbitrary joint distribution on $\mathbb{R}^d \times \{\pm 1\}$-- is to output a hypothesis that is competitive (to within $\epsilon$) of the best fitting concept from some class.
By Gautam Chandrasekaran, Adam Klivans, Vasilis Kontonis, Raghu Meka, Konstantinos Stavropoulos
arXiv:2607. 28945v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Synthetic tabular data is increasingly used in privacy-preserving data sharing, data augmentation, and to mitigate downstream classifier bias.
By Nitish Nagesh, Mahdi Bagheri, Amir M. Rahmani
arXiv:2410. 02628v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Learning conditional distributions $\pi^*(\cdot|x)$ is a central problem in machine learning, which is typically approached via supervised methods with paired data $(x,y) \sim \pi^*$.
By Mikhail Persiianov, Arip Asadulaev, Nikita Andreev, Nikita Starodubcev, Dmitry Baranchuk, Anastasis Kratsios, Evgeny Burnaev, Alexander Korotin
arXiv:2608. 08662v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: The single-selection prophet inequality is a canonical Bayesian online selection problem in which independent nonnegative values arrive sequentially and the decision-maker must irrevocably select at most one.
By Patrick Loiseau, Mathieu Molina, Vianney Perchet, Sebastian Perez-Salazar, Victor Verdugo