Power grids, markets, and interacting populations, settle into feedback driven equilibria observed through unknown sensors. Our Equilibrium Causal Game (ECG) joins a game to its cyclic causal model, hidden inputs, sensor map, and rules for interventions and equilibrium selection; interventions edit declared objects and recompute equilibrium.
arXiv:2606. 04822v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal modeling of physical temporal phenomena must handle interventions that act along trajectories, nonstationary induced laws, path-dependent effects, and feedback mediated by dynamics, all challenging in standard causal models.
By Dario Rancati, Max Welling, Francesco Locatello
arXiv:2607. 07206v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Optimizer experiments observe responses to algorithmic configurations without uniquely revealing hidden mechanisms.
By Zavier Li
The paper introduces the concept of causal retention in interactive agents, examining whether a frozen learned state can correctly answer a mechanism‑probe map that is fixed independently of training. It shows that for finite structural causal models the optimal probe error is a Bayes decision risk, vanishing only when each learning‑interface fiber lies within a single probe‑answer fiber, and provides theoretical results such as a posterior‑coverage theorem and an exact edit decomposition. Experiments on finite causal systems, continuous simulators, TD‑MPC2, and Qwen2.5‑7B‑Instruct demonstrate that causal retention can be achieved with high accuracy, outperforming task‑performance‑based approaches.
By Shengjun Zhang, Tingyi Liu, Dong Xie, Yunlong Dong, Xiang Wang, Cheng Zeng
arXiv:2608. 11954v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Structured potential outcomes such as microscopy images may be recorded after an unknown, unit-specific transformation.
By Usef Faghihi, Amir Saki
arXiv:2608. 19831v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal Bayesian networks (CBNs) and structural causal models (SCMs) are the dominant frameworks for graphical causal reasoning, but they cannot adequately represent all real-world causal systems.
By Joris M. Mooij