arXiv Machine Learning

Training on the Future: A Delay-Aware Audit of Test-Time Adaptation for Time-Series Forecasting

arXiv:2610. 12232v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Test-time adaptation (TTA) methods for time-series forecasting update a deployed model, or a small adapter around it, from incoming ground truth.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 2

LeNEPA: No-Augmentation Next-Latent Prediction for Time-Series Representation Learning

arXiv:2607. 00958v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Time series are central to modern data mining applications, from industrial telemetry and server metrics to finance and physiology, yet time-series self-supervised learning often depends on view and augmentation choices that encode domain-specific invariances.

By Alexander Chemeris, Ming Jin, Randall Balestriero
arXiv AI
Sep 25

Revalidation Beats Stateful Routing for Scientific Surrogates Under Distribution Shift

The study introduces RegimeShift‑Surrogates, a streaming benchmark that tests surrogate models across eight tasks and multiple regimes. It compares revalidation—choosing the model with lowest current‑window validation loss—to stateful adaptive controllers and finds that revalidation consistently outperforms stateful methods, achieving lower mean log regret in most task‑scenario combinations. The results suggest that fresh validation evidence is more valuable than carrying over past evidence when dealing with distribution shifts.

By Harshil Lodhiya