arXiv Statistics ML

Not All Mislabels Are Equal: Efficient Task-Aware Auditing with Confidence Sequences

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 23

Targeted Review for AI-Assisted Biodiversity Surveys: Active Continuous-Score Occupancy Modeling

The paper introduces ACORN, a method that blends machine‑learning predictions with occupancy models to guide ecologists in selecting which samples to review. By strategically choosing the most informative labels, ACORN achieves ecological conclusions nearly identical to fully human‑labeled data while dramatically reducing the number of expert reviews needed. The approach is evaluated on camera‑trap and bioacoustic datasets, demonstrating its effectiveness across real‑world biodiversity surveys.

By Timm Haucke, Lauren Harrell, Justin Kay, Mary Clapp, Sara Beery
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 15

The geometry of AI validation: From structural blindness to reusable audits

The paper investigates how AI systems that perform best‑of‑n search require different validation strategies as the search width changes. It shows that auditing only small search widths leaves a gap in reliability estimates for larger widths, and proposes retaining candidate ranks and truth labels to estimate reliability across all widths up to N. The authors derive theoretical bounds on the minimax mean‑squared error, design procedures that achieve these bounds, and demonstrate that a shared audit can significantly reduce maximum error across many widths in practical CodeRM pools.

By Ricardo Fitas
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 18

Judge, Retrieve, or Abstain: Uncertainty-Guarded LLM Judging with Provable Risk Guarantees

The paper introduces a risk‑controlled framework for using large language models (LLMs) as judges in tasks without reference answers. By calibrating uncertainty thresholds on a held‑out set, the method ensures that the false discovery rate of accepted verdicts stays below a user‑specified level α with high probability, using finite‑sample Clopper–Pearson intervals. When the parametric judge lacks confidence, the instance is routed to a retrieval‑augmented mode with a second calibrated threshold, preserving the error guarantee while achieving higher coverage than single‑mode baselines.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 24

Active Learning for Biodiversity Monitoring: From Label Efficiency to Reliable Ecological Inference

The paper discusses how active learning (AL) can alleviate the expert annotation bottleneck in biodiversity monitoring by selecting the most informative samples under a fixed budget. It highlights that while AL reduces labeling effort, its non-random sample selection complicates model validation, calibration, and ecological inference, issues often overlooked in current studies. The authors review existing AL research across acoustic and image data, identify gaps such as limited species coverage and lack of real-world deployments, and propose a tutorial framework and roadmap for developing AL methods that support efficient training, reliable validation, and trustworthy ecological conclusions.

By Ben McEwen, Shiqi Zhang, Dan Stowell
arXiv Computation and Language
Oct 27

From Self-Confidence to Statistical Accuracy: Scaling Human-in-the-Loop Evaluation with Direct and LLM-Assisted Auditing

arXiv:2610.35698v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: For large language models (LLMs) and multimodal large language models (MLLMs), model-reported self-confidence is often miscalibrated, yet it may still...

By Harine Choi (Texas A&M Transportation Institute, Texas A&M University System), Chenchen Kuai (Zachry Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Texas A&M University), Zihao Li (Department of Civil, Construction and Environmental Engineering, Marquette University), Jiwan Jiang (Zachry Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Texas A&M University), Yunlong Zhang (Zachry Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Texas A&M University), Zhiwen Fan (Department of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Texas A&M University), Zhengzhong Tu (Department of Computer Science and Engineering, Texas A&M University), Yang Zhou (Zachry Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Texas A&M University)
arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 23

Reliable AI-Assisted Decisions via Selective Auditing

The paper introduces a framework for online monitoring of AI systems that produce decisions with associated confidence scores. It formulates the problem as an online constrained optimization task, aiming to minimize expert auditing while ensuring that the proportion of unaudited AI errors remains below a user‑defined threshold. The authors present a family of algorithms with provable error‑control guarantees, including an optimally efficient method that achieves the best possible auditing rate for both adversarial and i.i.d. data streams, and demonstrate its effectiveness on tasks such as screening harmful requests, text annotation, and data labeling.

By Isaac Gibbs, Elise L. Han, Ryan J. Tibshirani, Tijana Zrnic
arXiv Computation and Language
Sep 28

Evidence-Grounded Auditing of Identification Assumptions in Climate-Policy Causal Evaluations

The paper introduces ARGUS, a language‑model pipeline that audits evidence for identification assumptions in difference‑in‑differences studies of climate policy. ARGUS evaluates reported evidence against an eleven‑dimension rubric, abstaining when evidence cannot be retrieved. In tests, ARGUS detects 73% of injected flaws versus 18% for a keyword approach, abstains on about 40% of assessments in 26 economics papers, and often assigns higher risk than human labels in a five‑paper pilot.

By Yonghong Zhang, Yong Xie, Isabel M. Parra, Ricardo Correia
arXiv AI
Sep 2

Measuring consistency via ensemble margin and local prediction variability: Auditing decision systems in the presence of predictive multiplicity

The paper introduces a new consistency criterion for auditing decision systems that combines ensemble margin with local prediction variability to address predictive multiplicity, or the Rashomon effect. It shows that finite ensembles converge to the expected model’s consistency score as ensemble size and sample count grow, and demonstrates that ensembling models from the Rashomon set reduces unchecked incorrect predictions while keeping diversions moderate. Experiments on transformer and fine‑tuned language models for NLP and tabular classification confirm the method’s effectiveness and stronger alignment with existing multiplicity metrics.

By Sinjini Banerjee, Tim Marrinan, Anand D. Sarwate