arXiv Computation and Language By Yonghong Zhang, Yong Xie, Isabel M. Parra, Ricardo Correia

Evidence-Grounded Auditing of Identification Assumptions in Climate-Policy Causal Evaluations

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The paper introduces ARGUS, a language‑model pipeline that audits evidence for identification assumptions in difference‑in‑differences studies of climate policy. ARGUS evaluates reported evidence against an eleven‑dimension rubric, abstaining when evidence cannot be retrieved. In tests, ARGUS detects 73% of injected flaws versus 18% for a keyword approach, abstains on about 40% of assessments in 26 economics papers, and often assigns higher risk than human labels in a five‑paper pilot.

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arXiv Computation and Language
Aug 21

When Text and Numbers Disagree: Evidence Arbitration in Large Language Models

arXiv:2608. 20116v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly used in settings where textual summaries, numerical observations, and external tool outputs may provide conflicting evidence.

By Mattia Carletti, Edward Phillips, Fredrik K. Gustafsson, Patitapaban Palo, Lei Clifton, Danielle Belgrave, Xiao Gu, David A. Clifton