arXiv:2604. 16763v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Causal inference from electronic health records (EHR) is fundamentally limited by unmeasured confounding: critical clinical states such as frailty, goals of care, and mental status are documented in free-text notes but absent from structured data.
By Lei Liu, Jialin Chen, Kathy Macropol
arXiv:2607. 27224v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: External and synthetic control arms (ECAs) are entering psychiatric drug development, but the field lacks a benchmark that evaluates the properties regulators care about: not only how accurately a method reconstructs untreated trajectories, but whether its uncertainty is calibrated, whether it is robust to the informative observation times common in mental-health records (sicker patients are seen more often), and what false-positive rate it induces in go/no-go trial decisions.
By Aakash Bhagat, Shashank Choudhary
arXiv:2604. 23904v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Synthetic tabular data are often evaluated by distributional similarity, privacy distance, or train-on-synthetic-test-on-real predictive performance, but these criteria do not ensure validity for causal inference.
By Yichen Xu
arXiv:2408. 13378v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Workflows in drug-target interaction (DTI) assessment require integrating heterogeneous data from predictive models, curated resources, and observations from experimental literature.
By Yoshitaka Inoue, Tianci Song, Xinling Wang, Rui Kuang, Tianfan Fu, Augustin Luna
arXiv:2608. 08288v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Estimating counterfactual outcomes over time from longitudinal observational data is central to clinical decision support.
By Abisoye Abidakun, Mingjun Zhong, Georgios Leontidis
arXiv:2511. 19735v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Randomized controlled trials (RCTs)have been the cornerstone of clinical evidence; however, their cost, duration, and restrictive eligibility criteria limit power and external validity.
By Shu Yang, Margaret Gamalo, Haoda Fu
arXiv:2607. 21806v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Predictive machine learning (ML) models are increasingly used to aid human decision-makers across various high-risk domains such as healthcare and criminal justice.
By Jonathan Zhang, Erik Skalnes, Jacob Chen, Michael Oberst
arXiv:2606. 05797v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Longitudinal treatment decisions require predicting potential outcomes under future treatment sequences in the presence of time-varying confounding, heterogeneous patient dynamics, and limited domain-specific data.
By Amirhossein Zare, Amirhessam Zare, Herlock Rahimi, Reza Salarikia, Mohammad Kashkooli
arXiv:2608. 07609v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: High-throughput screening (HTS) assays are central to early-stage drug discovery but are often limited by extreme data sparsity, as primary screens typically use only a single replicate per test substance.
By Xiaohua Douglas Zhang
arXiv:2608. 05244v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We developed a unified covariate-adjusted causal inference framework for estimating the desirability of outcome ranking (DOOR) probability for benefit-risk evaluation in randomized trials and observational studies.
By Yuan Feng, Shiyu Shu, Yixin Fang, Ionut Bebu, Toshimitsu Hamasaki, Scott Evans, Guoqing Diao
arXiv:2607. 25546v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Given a model that is already trained, which features does it rely on causally versus spuriously?
By Athanasios Vlontzos, Giorgos Papanastasiou, Bernhard Kainz, Sotirios Tsaftaris
arXiv:2606. 19245v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Artificial intelligence (AI) agents promise to accelerate drug discovery by compressing interpretation and decision-making loops, but practical deployment requires trusted evaluation on realistic program decisions.
By Hannah Le, Ramesh Ramasamy, Alex Urrutia, Mahsa Yazdani, Tim Proctor, Kenny Workman