arXiv AI

Ensemble RL through Classifier Models: Enhancing Risk-Return Trade-offs in Trading Strategies

arXiv:2502. 17518v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: This paper presents a comprehensive study on the use of ensemble Reinforcement Learning (RL) models in financial trading strategies, leveraging classifier models to enhance performance.

Hugging Face Trending Papers
Aug 27

Tabular Deep Learning for Algorithmic Trading: Cross-Regime Bayesian Optimisation for Equity Signal Generation

The paper explores tabular deep learning for equity signal generation, training five model classes on daily data from about 300 large‑cap US stocks over eleven years. By using Bayesian optimisation that targets trading performance across three distinct market regimes, the authors achieve regime‑robust hyperparameter selection, yielding out‑of‑sample signal precision above random and a Hybrid ensemble (XGBoost + TabNet) with an annualised return of 51.26% and a Sharpe ratio of 2.44. The study also finds that alternative data adds limited value beyond technical and fundamental features, and that the ensemble’s outperformance is driven by stock selection rather than market exposure.

arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 23

Financially Guided Deep Portfolio Optimization

arXiv:2605.28853v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Portfolio optimization in real-world financial markets is notoriously difficult due to non-stationarity, noisy data, and high transaction cos...

By Rahul Fernandes, Travis Desell
arXiv AI
Jun 3

Dynamic Objective Selection with Safeguards and LLM Oversight for Financial Decision-Making

arXiv:2606. 03704v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Financial decision-making tasks such as stock recommendation and portfolio allocation typically estimate future return and risk and then select trades or allocations for an investor, and the chosen optimization objective often determines realized performance.

By Keigo Sakurai, Takahiro Ogawa, Miki Haseyama, Anjyu Anan, Kei Nakagawa
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 16

Machine Learning and the Random Walk Puzzle: Forecasting the CAD/USD Exchange Rate with Expanding Window Evaluation and SHAP Interpretability

arXiv:2606. 15058v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This study examines whether machine learning (ML) models can outperform the naive random walk benchmark in forecasting the monthly USD/CAD exchange rate.

By Louis Agyekum, Edmund Fosu Agyemang, Obu-Amoah Ampomah, Kofi Acheampong, Emmanuel Boadi, Priscilla Yaa Amakye, Fafa Shalom Tchorly, Enock Adu Bonsu, Eric Nyarko