arXiv Machine Learning

Trading Confidence: Comprehensive Uncertainty Estimation in Algorithmic Trading

arXiv:2607. 02864v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Reinforcement Learning (RL) has emerged as a powerful approach in financial trading, enabling agents to learn optimal strategies through direct market interaction.

arXiv AI
Jul 9

Can Reinforcement Learning Efficiently Discover Price Manipulation?

arXiv:2607. 06121v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In this paper, we investigate whether a model-free RL agent can identify and exploit price manipulation opportunities more effectively than a traditional model-based approach that assumes correct specification of the data-generating process but relies on noisy parameter estimates.

By Ioanna-Yvonni Tsaknaki, Andrea Macr\`i, Fabrizio Lillo
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 17

A Noise-Robust Elicit-to-Optimize Framework for Distortion Riskmetrics via Inverse Reinforcement Learning

arXiv:2607. 14373v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We propose a noise-robust elicit-to-optimize framework that integrates inverse reinforcement learning (IRL) and reinforcement learning (RL) for eliciting agents' risk preferences and optimizing policies under a broad class of risk objectives characterized by distortion riskmetrics.

By Yang Liu, Yuhao Liu, Yunran Wei
arXiv AI
Jun 9

Addressing Market Regime Changes and Heavy-Tailed Returns in Portfolio Optimization via Bayesian VAR and Elliptical Black-Litterman

arXiv:2606. 09104v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Deep reinforcement learning (DRL) frameworks for portfolio optimization have shown promise for their ability to learn allocation rules dynamically from market data.

By Daniil Mikriukov (University of Liverpool, Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University), Ruoyu Sun (Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University), Angelos Stefanidis (Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University), Jionglong Su (Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University), Zhengyong Jiang (Xi'an Jiaotong-Liverpool University)
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 24

A Robust Model-Based Approach for Continuous-Time Policy Evaluation with Unknown L\'evy Process Dynamics

arXiv:2504. 01482v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: This paper develops a model-based framework for continuous-time policy evaluation (CTPE) in reinforcement learning, incorporating both Brownian and L\'evy noise to model stochastic dynamics influenced by rare and extreme events.

By Qihao Ye, Xiaochuan Tian, Yuhua Zhu