arXiv:2607. 16028v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This paper presents our system for Task 3 of the CLEF 2026 FinMMEval Lab, which requires daily long, flat, or short trading decisions for Bitcoin (BTC) and Tesla (TSLA) using news and historical market data.
By Andrei Neagu, Eeham Khan, Leila Kosseim
arXiv:2501. 00826v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Cryptocurrency portfolio management requires the fusion of heterogeneous multi-modal signals, including structured price and on-chain time series, unstructured news text, and technical indicators, under high-volatility and real-time constraints.
By Yichen Luo, Yebo Feng, Jiahua Xu, Paolo Tasca, Yang Liu
MoFE is a deep learning framework that combines Fourier Neural Operators with a Mixture-of-Experts architecture to forecast cryptocurrency prices. It models volatility as a mix of multi-frequency components—including fundamental growth, mining costs, halving events, and market sentiment—using adaptive FNO and convolutional experts. Experiments on Bitcoin data from 2020 to 2025 show MoFE outperforms existing models in short‑term horizons, reducing phase‑lag errors and improving directional accuracy and information coefficient, which translates into higher Sharpe ratios in simulated trading.
By Bowen Liu, Mingming Sun
arXiv:2607. 02864v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Reinforcement Learning (RL) has emerged as a powerful approach in financial trading, enabling agents to learn optimal strategies through direct market interaction.
By Lin Li, Li Rong Wang, Hsuan Fu, Xiuyi Fan
arXiv:2607. 06610v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Portfolio optimization under uncertainty is inherently a multi-objective decision problem involving complex interactions among return, risk, market dynamics, and practical investment constraints.
By Sounaq Das, Tanmay Sen, Raghu Nandan Sengupta, Aditya Gupta
arXiv:2607. 06121v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: In this paper, we investigate whether a model-free RL agent can identify and exploit price manipulation opportunities more effectively than a traditional model-based approach that assumes correct specification of the data-generating process but relies on noisy parameter estimates.
By Ioanna-Yvonni Tsaknaki, Andrea Macr\`i, Fabrizio Lillo
arXiv:2608. 04305v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Risk-aware Q-learning (RaQL) provides a model-free, two-timescale estimator for dynamic risk objectives, but its finite-budget behavior remains fragile: fixed inner-loop hyperparameters can produce unstable value estimates, persistent Bellman residuals, and inefficient sample reuse.
By Yifan Wu, Junjie Lei, Wenjie Huang
arXiv:2608. 27076v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Algorithmic trading now represents a market exceeding $20 billion, where even marginal gains in signal robustness can translate into economically significant returns.
By Joshua Le Grice
arXiv:2608. 15770v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Designing effective trading strategies using reinforcement learning remains challenging due to delayed and noisy rewards, poor exploration, and the difficulty of enforcing explicit risk constraints.
By Arishi Orra, Himanshu Choudhary, Manoj Thakur
arXiv:2606. 27032v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Energy trading decisions depend not only on current market prices, but also on expected future market conditions, and operational constraints.
By Jesper Klicks, Sander Vr\v{z}ina, Vincent Fran\c{c}ois-Lavet
arXiv:2606. 08379v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This study addresses the optimal execution of large stock sell programs by introducing TT-DAC-PS (Twin-Target Deterministic Actor-Critic with Policy Smoothing), a deterministic actor-critic architecture that combines twin exponential-moving-average critic targets with pessimistic min backup, TD3-style target policy smoothing noise, delayed actor updates, and conservative Q regularisation to curb overestimation.
By Ilia Zaznov, Atta Badii, Julian Kunkel, Alfonso Dufour
The paper explores tabular deep learning for equity signal generation, training five model classes on daily data from about 300 large‑cap US stocks over eleven years. By using Bayesian optimisation that targets trading performance across three distinct market regimes, the authors achieve regime‑robust hyperparameter selection, yielding out‑of‑sample signal precision above random and a Hybrid ensemble (XGBoost + TabNet) with an annualised return of 51.26% and a Sharpe ratio of 2.44. The study also finds that alternative data adds limited value beyond technical and fundamental features, and that the ensemble’s outperformance is driven by stock selection rather than market exposure.