arXiv:2608. 04023v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Sri Lanka's fisheries sector is important for jobs and food supply.
arXiv:2606. 29248v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Vegetable prices in Sri Lanka are highly volatile because the market is largely import-isolated, so supply disruptions quickly drive prices up.
The study investigates how local weather conditions influence price dynamics in Sri Lankan tea markets by creating a structured dataset from 105 weekly broker reports and regional weather data. Using Granger causality and tree‑based machine learning models, the authors find that market forces dominate but weather—especially precipitation and sunshine for Low Grown tea, and temperature for Off‑Grade and Dust—significantly affects prices with notable lag effects. Catalogue‑specific models, particularly LightGBM, outperform unified approaches, underscoring the value of tailored forecasting.
arXiv:2606. 28190v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: This study analyzes Sri Lankan migration and remittances over 32 years (1994-2025).
arXiv:2608. 09846v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This paper presents a methodological framework for real-time climate risk assessment using data-driven nowcasting techniques to enhance supply chain resilience in Colombian agricultural contexts.
arXiv:2609.24394v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Climate variability influences whether a market disruption escalates into a food crisis, yet broad climate patterns like El Ni\~no, tracked months befo...
arXiv:2607. 27152v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Accurate intraday forecasts of offshore wind are becoming increasingly important for power system operation and the integration of growing shares of offshore wind energy.
The paper introduces Probabilistic Bias Correction (PBC), a machine learning framework that learns to correct historical probabilistic forecasts, thereby reducing systematic errors in subseasonal weather predictions. Applied to leading dynamical and AI models from ECMWF, PBC doubles the AI system’s modest subseasonal skill and improves the operationally-debiased dynamical model for most pressure, temperature, and precipitation targets. In ECMWF’s 2025 real‑time forecasting competition, PBC’s global forecasts ranked first across all weather variables and lead times, outperforming multiple operational and ensemble models.
arXiv:2608.30976v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Real-world time-series forecasting is rarely a one-shot model invocation: practitioners must formulate tasks, connect data and models, incorporate doma...
arXiv:2604. 16238v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Decision-makers rely on weather forecasts to plant crops, manage wildfires, allocate water and energy, and prepare for weather extremes.
The article introduces the TAISE framework, which uses AI weather forecasting models to generate coherent extreme weather sequences at a fraction of the cost of traditional catastrophe risk models. By self‑iteratively producing continuous global atmospheric fields, TAISE captures temporal continuity and cross‑regional correlations that snapshot‑based methods miss. A proof‑of‑concept experiment shows an order‑of‑magnitude reduction in computational cost while maintaining key statistical properties of extreme events.
arXiv:2605. 20167v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Every spring, flash floods strike the haor wetlands of northeast Bangladesh just before the boro rice harvest, and one flood can erase a family's entire crop in days.
Real-world time-series forecasting is rarely a one-shot model invocation: practitioners must formulate tasks, connect data and models, incorporate domain expertise, assess prediction plausibility, and...