arXiv:2607. 11177v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In this paper, we propose deep learning based NeuroMem-FHP framework for estimating the parameters of the fractional Hawkes process (FHP), a self-exciting point process that captures long-range dependence through a fractional Mittag-Leffler excitation kernel.
arXiv:2607. 11272v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate dengue forecasting is crucial for public health planning, but remains challenging because incidence series are often short, noisy, non-stationary, nonlinear, and often affected by long-range temporal dependence.
arXiv:2511. 20577v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Real-world time series often exhibit strong non-stationarity, complex nonlinear dynamics, and behavior expressed across multiple temporal scales, from rapid local fluctuations to slow-evolving long-range trends.
arXiv:2509. 24762v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Modeling event sequences of multiple event types with marked temporal point processes (MTPPs) provides a principled way to uncover governing dynamical rules and predict future events.
arXiv:2509. 24122v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: At the heart of time-series forecasting (TSF) lies a fundamental challenge: how can models efficiently and effectively capture long-range temporal dependencies across ever-growing sequences?
arXiv:2606. 10678v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Transformer-based models have emerged as leading paradigms in time-series forecasting in recent years, employing self-attention mechanisms to capture long-range dependencies.
arXiv:2506. 05678v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The evolution of sequence modeling architectures, from recurrent neural networks and convolutional models to Transformers and structured state-space models, reflects ongoing efforts to address the diverse temporal dependencies inherent in sequential data.
arXiv:2607. 14733v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Temporal Knowledge Graphs (TKGs) record how facts evolve over time, but forecasting future events on a TKG remains difficult for three reasons: (i) long-range temporal dependencies are hard to encode; (ii) events on different chains mutually excite or inhibit one another in ways that snapshot-level models cannot express; and (iii) inter-arrival times are heavy-tailed and statistically sparse, so deterministic time predictors are unreliable.
arXiv:2608. 06993v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large-scale pretrained time-series models achieve strong results through large-scale pretraining and task-agnostic representation learning, but they rely on abundant, diverse data that industrial and scientific domains often lack.
arXiv:2608. 04706v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Monitoring of offshore wind energy infrastructure life cycles, especially during the deployment phase, is an important contribution for stakeholders to make informed decisions in a phase of increasing deployment activities.
arXiv:2501. 14291v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Temporal point processes (TPPs) are stochastic process models used to characterize event sequences occurring in continuous time.
arXiv:2608. 11951v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Extreme events in air transport, such as severe arrival delays and abnormal air times, cause cascading network disruptions with substantial operational, economic, and safety costs.
arXiv:2608. 13562v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Modern operational systems face uncertainty even in routine conditions, where rare, bursty, and self-exciting events emerge from both exogenous covariates and endogenous event dynamics.