arXiv Machine Learning

MSTN: A Lightweight and Fast Model for General TimeSeries Analysis

arXiv:2511. 20577v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Real-world time series often exhibit strong non-stationarity, complex nonlinear dynamics, and behavior expressed across multiple temporal scales, from rapid local fluctuations to slow-evolving long-range trends.

arXiv AI
Jul 23

Structured Latent Space Modeling over Multi-Scale Temporal Patches for Multivariate Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2607. 19404v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multivariate time series encode structural patterns that unfold across multiple temporal scales, yet most forecasting backbones treat learned representations as transient byproducts of prediction, leaving the organizational geometry of these patterns underexploited.

By Xingsheng Chen, Deyu Yi, Siu-Ming Yiu
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 6

Echo Flow Networks

arXiv:2509. 24122v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: At the heart of time-series forecasting (TSF) lies a fundamental challenge: how can models efficiently and effectively capture long-range temporal dependencies across ever-growing sequences?

By Hongbo Liu, Jia Xu
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 10

Interpretable deep convolutional model for nonlinear multivariate time series in complex systems

arXiv:2501. 04339v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We introduce the Deep Convolutional Interpreter for Time Series (DCIts), a deep-learning architecture for nonlinear multivariate time series that provides sample-specific, locally interpretable descriptions of the underlying interaction structure.

By Domjan Baric, Davor Horvatic
arXiv Machine Learning
5d ago

Progressive Memory Transformer: Memory-Aware Attention for Time-Series

The paper introduces the Progressive Memory Transformer (PMT), a transformer variant that adds writable, window‑aligned memory to expose mid‑range representations alongside token and sequence‑level outputs. PMT is trained with a hierarchical learning framework that applies separate objectives at local, mid‑range, and global scales, encouraging the model to capture fine‑grained variation, window‑level motifs, and overall sequence agreement. Experiments on seven UCR/UEA/UCI classification datasets, a cue‑retention probe, and forecasting tasks show that PMT achieves strong low‑label classification performance, competitive multi‑horizon forecasting, and evidence that its memory states encode mid‑range motifs.

By Tord Sture Stangeland, Andreas K\"ohler, Steffen M{\ae}land, Ad\'in Ram\'ires Rivera
arXiv AI
Aug 19

Rethinking Irregular Time Series Forecasting from the Perspective of Basis Functions

The paper introduces DNBNet, a Debiased Neural Basis-Function Network designed for irregular time series forecasting. It addresses two main limitations of existing methods: asymptotic bias from ignoring timestamp sampling density and limited adaptability of predefined basis functions. DNBNet employs importance sampling to correct bias, neural‑network parameterized basis functions for flexibility, a multi‑scale decomposition with mass‑aware fusion for sparse data, and a dual‑branch decoder, achieving strong performance across diverse real‑world datasets.

By Rongwen Li, Changjian Chen
arXiv AI
Aug 18

Adapting LLMs to Time Series Forecasting via Temporal Heterogeneity Modeling and Representation Alignment

arXiv:2508. 07195v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Recent advances have demonstrated that Large Language Models (LLMs) can be effectively adapted for time series forecasting, revealing strong potential beyond natural language tasks.

By Yanru Sun, Emadeldeen Eldele, Zongxia Xie, Yucheng Wang, Wenzhe Niu, Qinghua Hu, Chee Keong Kwoh, Min Wu