arXiv:2606. 14313v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Real-world spatio-temporal forecasting must handle irregular time points, spatially sparse observations, and the need for uncertainty quantification.
By Jaeyeong Lee, Heeyoung Kim
arXiv:2603. 23746v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Events in spatiotemporal domains arise in numerous real-world applications, where uncovering event relationships and enabling accurate prediction are central challenges.
By Zhitong Xu, Qiwei Yuan, Yinghao Chen, Yan Sun, Bin Shen, Shandian Zhe
arXiv:2501. 14291v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Temporal point processes (TPPs) are stochastic process models used to characterize event sequences occurring in continuous time.
By Feng Zhou, Quyu Kong, Jie Qiao, Cheng Wan, Yixuan Zhang, Ruichu Cai
The paper proposes a method for predicting future snow water equivalent (SWE) across the Western United States by first removing spatial correlations using a Gaussian Process-based linear transformation, then training a long short-term memory (LSTM) neural network on the decorrelated data. This separation of spatial and temporal components improves predictive accuracy compared to baseline models. Additionally, the authors incorporate conformal prediction to provide distribution‑free uncertainty estimates for SWE forecasts.
By Colin Fenster, Adrienne Marshall, Soutir Bandyopadhyay, Daniel McKenzie
arXiv:2609.21382v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Operators of service-based systems act on forecasts of how a running execution will continue, and such a forecast is actionable only if its reliability...
By Jiaxin Yuan, Daniela Grigori, Han van der Aa
arXiv:2609.13345v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Probabilistic forecasting is central to decision-making under uncertainty, yet its methodological landscape has become increasingly fragmented across...
By Donia Besher, Rajdeep Pathak, Madhurima Panja, Tanujit Chakraborty