arXiv:2406. 14399v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The development of Time-Series Forecasting (TSF) models is often constrained by the lack of comprehensive datasets, especially in Global Station Weather Forecasting (GSWF), where existing datasets are small, temporally short, and spatially sparse.
By Tao Han, Zhibin Wen, Zhenghao Chen, Dazhao Du, Song Guo, Lei Bai
arXiv:2510. 02415v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Machine learning models for the global atmosphere that are capable of producing stable, multi-year simulations of Earth's climate have recently been developed.
By Bosong Zhang, Timothy M. Merlis
arXiv:2605. 30184v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: While AI weather models excel at short-to-medium range forecasts (up to 15 days), they frequently suffer from ill-defined "instabilities" when rolled out over longer horizons.
By Fanny Lehmann, Firat Ozdemir, Yun Cheng, Torsten Hoefler, Sebastian Schemm, Benedikt Soja, Siddhartha Mishra
arXiv:2603. 22320v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: For decades, physics-based climate models have been used to provide insights for climate decision-making.
By Luca Schmidt, Nina Effenberger, Vitus Benson, Philine L. Bommer, Robert Brunstein, Mikel N. Legasa, Maxim Samarin, Maybritt Schillinger
arXiv:2606. 04143v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate flood forecasting is essential for mitigating disaster risks and protecting communities.
By Tewodros Syum Gebre, Jagrati Talreja, Leila Hashemi-Beni
arXiv:2603. 22320v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: For decades, physics-based climate models have been used to provide insights for climate decision-making.
By Luca Schmidt, Nina Effenberger, Vitus Benson, Philine L. Bommer, Robert Brunstein, Mikel N. Legasa, Maxim Samarin, Maybritt Schillinger
arXiv:2608. 04222v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Turbulence is a central testbed for machine learning on physical dynamics because its governing laws are known exactly.
By Yilong Dai, Yiming Sun, Yiheng Chen, Shengyu Chen, Peyman Givi, Xiaowei Jia, Runlong Yu
State-of-the-art medium-range AI weather models can outperform traditional Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) but require massive training budgets. This restricts usage for under-resourced groups and severely limits fast model iteration.
arXiv:2511. 23043v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We present a probabilistic data-driven weather model providing ensembles of high spatial resolution realizations of 87 variables at arbitrary ensemble size and forecast length.
By Even Marius Nordhagen, H{\aa}vard Homleid Haugen, Magnus Sikora Ingstad, Aram Farhad Shafiq Salihi, Thomas Nils Nipen, Ivar Ambj{\o}rn Seierstad, Inger-Lise Frogner, Mariana Clare, Simon Lang, Matthew Chantry, Peter Dueben, J{\o}rn Kristiansen
arXiv:2606. 08563v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: While global data-driven models excel at predicting continuous atmospheric variables, three-dimensional hydrometeor forecasting remains challenging due to the zero-inflated, long-tailed distributions of these variables.
By Dandan Chen, Yaqiang Wang
arXiv:2606. 26421v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: State-of-the-art medium-range AI weather models can outperform traditional Numerical Weather Prediction (NWP) but require massive training budgets.
By Cristiana Diaconu, Jonas Scholz, Aliaksandra Shysheya, Stratis Markou, Payel Mukhopadhyay, Miles Cranmer, Richard E. Turner
arXiv:2606. 27277v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Earth Observation (EO) forecasting aims to predict future Earth surface dynamics from satellite observations under changing meteorological conditions.
By Junwei Luo, Shuai Yuan, Zhenya Yang, Yansheng Li, Zhe Liu, Hengshuang Zhao