arXiv:2606. 06524v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate and scalable flood mapping remains challenging due to limited ground observations, heterogeneous terrain conditions, and the difficulty of enforcing hydrodynamic consistency within data-driven models.
By Tewodros Syum Gebre, Jagrati Talreja, Leila Hashemi-Beni
arXiv:2606. 08563v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: While global data-driven models excel at predicting continuous atmospheric variables, three-dimensional hydrometeor forecasting remains challenging due to the zero-inflated, long-tailed distributions of these variables.
By Dandan Chen, Yaqiang Wang
arXiv:2608. 09683v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Probabilistic coastal hazard assessments require accurate characterization of tropical cyclone (TC) parameters, yet datasets often contain missing records for the radius of maximum winds (Rmax), a key variable in Joint Probability Method analyses.
By Swastik Agrawal, Nishkal Hundia, Ziyue Liu, Michelle Bensi
arXiv:2607. 16050v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Pluvial (rainfall-driven) flooding accounts for 45% of National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims in the United States and is harder to predict than its riverine and coastal counterparts, with existing approaches limited to coarse resolution, regional domains, or computationally intensive process-based models unsuitable for daily continental-scale use.
By Yuya Kawakami, Daniel Cayan, Dongyu Liu, Kwan-Liu Ma, Tom Corringham
arXiv:2607. 23237v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Effective flood risk management relies on accurate forecasting, yet the "black box" nature of stateof-the-art Deep Learning models creates a barrier to trust and accountability in high-stakes public safety decisions.
By Eli Levinkopf, Efrat Morin, Claudia V. Goldman
arXiv:2606. 15288v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Greenland iceberg discharge exhibits complex nonlinear dynamics with limited observability, challenging traditional predictive models.
By Yiquan Gao, Duohui Xu
arXiv:2509. 25017v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Wildfires are among the most severe natural hazards, posing a significant threat to both humans and natural ecosystems.
By Spyros Kondylatos, Nikolas Papadopoulos, Gustau Camps-Valls, Ioannis Papoutsis
arXiv:2608. 05265v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Prediction of post-wildfire debris flows is critical for mitigating hazards to communities, infrastructure, and resources during intense rainfall in recently burned areas.
By Quinn Ledingham, Zhengsen Xu, Yimin Zhu, Zack Dewis, Mabel Heffring, Saeid Taleghanidoozdoozan, Motasem Alkayid, Megan Greenwood, Lincoln Linlin Xu
arXiv:2607. 12954v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Engineering use of AI forecasting models requires not only high nominal accuracy but also predictable behavior under uncertain inputs.
By Dandan Chen, Yan Zhao, Xuepeng Chen
Engineering use of AI forecasting models requires not only high nominal accuracy but also predictable behavior under uncertain inputs. In photovoltaic (PV) forecasting, this requirement is especially challenging because numerical weather prediction (NWP) errors are temporally correlated, state dependent, and physically coupled across variables.
arXiv:2608. 01864v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Predicting drought risk is essential for anticipating impacts on water resources, agriculture, ecosystems, and climate adaptation planning.
By Henri Funk, Cornelia Gruber, G\"oran Kauermann, Helmut K\"uchenhoff, Magdalena Mittermeier
arXiv:2608. 17971v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The impact of climate variability on food production has led to the creation of various forecasting models that uses machine learning (ML), numerical weather predictors (NWP) or a hybrid of ML-NWP models to identify structural and physical relationships between meteorological drivers and crop growth, in order to predict crop yield.
By Shrey Gupta, Yi Ming, George Mohler