arXiv AI

Causal Neural Probabilistic Circuits

arXiv:2603. 01372v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Concept Bottleneck Models (CBMs) enhance the interpretability of end-to-end neural networks by introducing a layer of concepts and predicting the class label from the concept predictions.

arXiv Machine Learning
2d ago

CIDER-FM: Foundation Models for Causal Inference from Diverse Experimental Regimes

CIDER-FM is a causal foundation model that combines finite observational data with surrogate-interventional datasets to predict target conditional interventional distributions more accurately than using observational data alone. It employs an intervention-aware representation and hierarchical three‑axis attention to integrate information across variables, samples, and experimental regimes. Experiments on synthetic graphs, simulated data, and real‑world Causal Chambers data show that incorporating experimental context improves CID prediction performance.

By Yuche Gao, Arik Reuter, Siyuan Guo, Anish Dhir, Bernhard Sch\"olkopf, Adrian Weller
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 19

TabCausal: Pretraining Across Causal Environments for Tabular Causal Discovery

TabCausal is a causal discovery foundation model that learns to map datasets directly to causal graphs by pretraining across diverse causal environments. It uses a dynamic task construction strategy to expose the model to varied graph priors, mechanisms, noise models, dimensions, sample sizes, and intervention regimes, improving transferability from observational and mixed‑interventional data. On large synthetic benchmarks and a new protocol‑guided semantic benchmark, TabCausal outperforms many classical baselines and shows robust structure recovery, especially when interventional evidence is available.

By Zi-Rong Li, Si-Yang Liu, Tian-Zuo Wang, Han-Jia Ye
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 23

Matryoshka attribution: Learning to attribute language model outputs to representations and weights

Matryoshka Attribution (MAttr) is a mask‑learning method that identifies nested subsets of a language model’s internal components by minimizing downstream loss. It uses a differentiable sigmoid top‑k operator and randomizes sparsity during training to produce an attribution ordering of components. MAttr tops the Mechanistic Interpretability Benchmark leaderboard and can be applied via reinforcement learning to pinpoint weight changes that control behaviors such as refusal in Llama 3.1 8B Instruct, where restoring just 1% of weights removes refusals while preserving capabilities.

By Aryaman Arora, Kirill Acharya, Nathan Hu, Yanzhe Zhang, Noah Goodman, Dan Jurafsky, Christopher Potts