arXiv AI
Aug 6
Can Post-Training Transform LLMs into Causal Reasoners?
arXiv:2602. 06337v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Causal inference is essential for decision-making but remains challenging for non-experts.
When and Why LLM Causal Priors Help: Closed-Loop Prior Selection for Amortized Causal Inference
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arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 26
Use What You Know: Causal Foundation Models with Partial Graphs
arXiv:2602. 14972v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Estimating causal quantities traditionally relies on bespoke estimators tailored to specific assumptions.
arXiv AI
Jun 17
FoundCause: Causal Discovery with Latent Confounders from Observational Data
arXiv:2606. 17516v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal discovery from observational data remains challenging due to the need to recover directed structure and latent confounding without interventions.
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 11
CausalArena: Benchmarking Causal Discovery in the Foundation Model Era
CausalArena is a new benchmark designed to evaluate causal discovery methods in the era of foundation models. It unifies synthetic structural causal models (SCMs), semantically grounded SCMs, and formula‑grounded SCMs, while also including real‑world datasets for external validation. Experiments show that performance rankings vary widely across different SCM families and protocols, indicating that strong results on one benchmark do not necessarily transfer to others.
Hugging Face Trending Papers
Sep 10
CausalArena: Benchmarking Causal Discovery in the Foundation Model Era
CausalArena is a unified, evolvable benchmark designed to evaluate causal discovery methods across diverse structural causal models (SCMs). It incorporates synthetic SCMs for controlled structural variation, semantic operational SCMs for human-auditable environments, and formula-grounded SCMs to test discovery under explicit scientific mechanisms, along with real-world datasets for external validity. Experiments show that performance rankings vary significantly across SCM families and protocols, indicating that strong results on one benchmark do not generalize to others, especially in the context of causal discovery foundation models.
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 10
CausalBN-Bench: A Comprehensive Benchmark for Causal Learning Capability of LLMs
arXiv:2404.06349v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The ability to understand causality significantly impacts the competence of large language models (LLMs) in output explanation and counterfactual r...
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 14
Causal Foundation Models with Continuous Treatments
arXiv:2605. 15133v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Causal inference, estimating causal effects from observational data, is a fundamental tool in many disciplines.
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 19
TabCausal: Pretraining Across Causal Environments for Tabular Causal Discovery
TabCausal is a causal discovery foundation model that learns to map datasets directly to causal graphs by pretraining across diverse causal environments. It uses a dynamic task construction strategy to expose the model to varied graph priors, mechanisms, noise models, dimensions, sample sizes, and intervention regimes, improving transferability from observational and mixed‑interventional data. On large synthetic benchmarks and a new protocol‑guided semantic benchmark, TabCausal outperforms many classical baselines and shows robust structure recovery, especially when interventional evidence is available.
arXiv AI
Aug 5
GENESIS: Towards Explainable Causal Discovery
arXiv:2608. 03868v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Causal Discovery (CD) from observational data faces two fundamental challenges.
arXiv AI
Jun 29
CausalFlip: A Benchmark for LLM Causal Judgment Beyond Semantic Matching
arXiv:2602. 20094v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: As large language models (LLMs) witness increasing deployment in complex, high-stakes decision-making scenarios, it becomes imperative to ground their reasoning in causality rather than spurious correlations.
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 8
Improving TabPFN's Synthetic Data Generation by Integrating Causal Structure
arXiv:2603. 10254v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Synthetic tabular data generation addresses data scarcity and privacy constraints in a variety of domains.
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 1
When few labeled target data suffice: a theory of semi-supervised domain adaptation via fine-tuning from multiple adaptive starts
arXiv:2507. 14661v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Semi-supervised domain adaptation (SSDA) seeks to achieve accurate predictions in a target domain with limited labeled target data by exploiting abundant source and unlabeled target data.