arXiv:2607. 18269v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The wisdom of crowds -- the finding that aggregating judgments across individuals often outperforms the best individual -- has been extensively studied with human forecasters.
By Igor Douven
arXiv:2607. 07729v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: As foundation models grow in scale and diversity, coordinating multiple models into cooperative reasoning systems offers a path toward safer, more reliable AI.
By J. de Curt\`o, I. de Zarz\`a
arXiv:2609.22497v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: The aggregation of many lay estimates often outperforms individual expert judgment, a phenomenon known as the wisdom of crowds. While this is usually a...
By Federico Barrera-Lemarchand, Mariano Sigman, Joaquin Navajas
arXiv:2512. 15011v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Artificial intelligence (AI) increasingly generates the very content used to train future AI systems.
By Damian Hodel, Jevin D. West
Top AI forecasting systems are approaching superforecaster-level accuracy on future world events, but still rely primarily on off-the-shelf LLMs combined with forecasting-specific context gathering and scaffolding. We study how to improve this recipe through ensembling: given a fixed number of samples, which off-the-shelf model forecasts should be combined to maximize accuracy?
The paper introduces the Universe of Universes (UoU) framework, treating the ecosystem of major large language models as a structured retrieval corpus and proposing a compositional Automated Reasoning and Machine Learning architecture for cross-model retrieval‑augmented generation. It formally defines the Benefit Yield Function (BYF), measuring marginal performance gain per added model, and identifies an implosion threshold θ* where BYF becomes zero and ensemble performance degrades. The work highlights gaps in current LLM ensemble research, such as lack of performance analysis across full model universes, and connects these findings to implications for DoD AI acquisition policy and testing of AI‑enabled systems.
By Danielle Franklin, Vasu Raj Jain
Co‑RL is a multi‑agent reinforcement learning framework that trains several decoupled models without shared parameters, using rewards generated by their peers. By increasing cohort diversity—through heterogeneous model families, varying sizes, and rephrased training samples—Co‑RL reduces self‑reinforcing feedback loops, preserves behavioral diversity, and prevents training collapse. Across both text‑only and multimodal benchmarks, Co‑RL outperforms base models and prior label‑free methods, achieving gains of 3.0‑8.6% on seven text benchmarks and 2.3‑7.2% on four multimodal benchmarks, while matching or surpassing supervised approaches without any ground‑truth labels.
By Yunhao Yang, Yuexin Bian, Yunjie Tian, Di Fu, Tianjin Huang, Yuanyuan Shi, Ziang Xiao, Nuno Vasconcelos, Yijiang Li
arXiv:2606. 29661v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Top AI forecasting systems are approaching superforecaster-level accuracy on future world events, but still rely primarily on off-the-shelf LLMs combined with forecasting-specific context gathering and scaffolding.
By Matthew Aitchison, Scott Jeen, Toby Shevlane, Ben Day
arXiv:2608.21415v1 Announce Type: cross
Abstract: Large Vision-Language Models (LVLMs) have achieved remarkable performance across a wide range of tasks; however, they often inherit social biases fro...
By Yisong Xiao, Aishan Liu, Yongxin Huang, Zonghao Ying, Shiji Zhao, Tianlin Li, Yong Han, Jian Yang, Xianglong Liu
arXiv:2606. 31404v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Human swarm intelligence demonstrates remarkable collective accuracy but faces scalability constraints in cost, coordination, and time.
By Justin Brenne, Christian Meske
arXiv:2606. 07812v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Humanity is a mosaic of multifaceted talents and needs, and any truly intelligent AI must reflect that richness.
By Shangbin Feng, Yike Wang, Weijia Shi, Luke Zettlemoyer, Yejin Choi, Yulia Tsvetkov
arXiv:2607. 29087v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are increasingly deployed in enterprise settings, yet individual models remain bounded by model-specific capability limitations.
By Yanbin Fang, Xuan Wei, Wei Chen