RDDMPI introduces a residual denoising diffusion model for multivariate time series imputation. By decomposing the missing signal into a baseline reconstruction and a residual uncertainty component, the method conditions the diffusion process on both the completed signal and its latent representation, using a reliability-aware mechanism to balance baseline influence. Experiments on benchmark datasets show that this approach improves reconstruction accuracy and uncertainty quantification compared to prior diffusion-based methods.
By Ramiro Valdes Jara, David Chapman, Adam Meyers
arXiv:2606. 23833v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Terrestrial water storage (TWS) integrates snow, soil moisture, surface water, and groundwater and is a key indicator of how climate variability and human activity reshape the global water cycle.
By Lukas Arzoumanidis, Lara Johannsen, Klara Middendorf, Annette Eicker, Youness Dehbi
The paper introduces AmazonSWE, a dataset covering over 19,000 river sections in the Amazon basin for 10 years, combining satellite altimetry and in‑situ gauge data to enable large‑scale spatiotemporal graph imputation. The authors highlight the extreme sparsity of observations—less than 1% of sections per day—and the directed acyclic topology of river networks, which challenge existing imputation methods. They propose a bidirectional selective state‑space model that samples connected subgraphs and uses topology‑aware positional encodings, achieving 18–39% lower RMSE than the current state‑of‑the‑art SWOT‑based approach while providing predictions for all river sections.
The paper introduces AmazonSWE, a dataset covering over 19,000 river sections in the Amazon basin for 10 years (2016‑2026) that integrates satellite altimetry, including SWOT, to enable large‑scale spatiotemporal graph imputation. The dataset is extremely sparse—fewer than 1% of sections are observed daily—and features a directed acyclic river topology that is larger and structurally distinct from existing benchmarks. The authors demonstrate that conventional imputation methods struggle with this topology, scale, and sparsity, and propose a bidirectional selective state‑space model that outperforms prior approaches, reducing RMSE against in‑situ gauges by 18‑39% and providing predictions for every river section.
whyItMatters":"AmazonSWE offers a novel, real‑world use case that could improve flood forecasting and water resource management by enabling more accurate and comprehensive water surface elevation estimates across a vast, sparsely monitored river network."
By Ruben Cartuyvels, Karim Douch, Gabriele Bertoli, Mounia El Baz, Artemis Vrettou, S\'ebastien Lef\`evre, Diego Fernandez Prieto
arXiv:2603.25779v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Groundwater represents a key element of the water cycle, yet it exhibits complex and context-dependent relationships that make its modeling c...
By Matteo Salis, Gabriele Sartor, Rosa Meo, Stefano Ferraris, Abdourrahmane M. Atto
arXiv:2510. 02605v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: While many modern studies are dedicated to ML-based large-sample hydrologic modeling, these efforts have not necessarily translated into predictive improvements that are grounded in enhanced physical-conceptual understanding.
By Yuan-Heng Wang, Yang Yang, Fabio Ciulla, Hoshin V. Gupta, Charuleka Varadharajan
arXiv:2606. 14570v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Emulators provide a cost-effective alternative to regional climate models (RCMs) by capturing their dynamical downscaling function.
By Mikel N. Legasa, Antoine Doury, Achille Gellens, Redouane Lguensat, Clara Naldesi, Soulivanh Thao, Mathieu Vrac
arXiv:2606. 04143v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate flood forecasting is essential for mitigating disaster risks and protecting communities.
By Tewodros Syum Gebre, Jagrati Talreja, Leila Hashemi-Beni
arXiv:2602. 16579v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Reliable global streamflow forecasting is essential for flood preparedness and water resource management, yet data-driven models often suffer from a performance gap when transitioning from historical reanalysis to operational forecast products.
By Maria Luisa Taccari, Kenza Tazi, Ois\'in M. Morrison, Andreas Grafberger, Juan Colonese, Corentin Carton de Wiart, Christel Prudhomme, Cinzia Mazzetti, Matthew Chantry, Florian Pappenberger
arXiv:2607. 28035v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Irregular multivariate time series are widely encountered in applications such as healthcare monitoring, human activity recognition, and environmental sensing.
By Tianen Shen, Zhengyu Li, Yutong Li, Xiangfei Qiu, Xingjian Wu, Bin Yang, Jilin Hu
The study presents a deployment‑aware framework for forecasting spring discharge and groundwater levels in the Edwards Aquifer over 1‑12 week horizons using 79 years of hydroclimatic data. Five machine‑learning families—extreme gradient boosting, extremely randomized trees, LSTM, CNN, and Transformers—were compared, with extreme gradient boosting consistently delivering the highest reliability (R² ≥ 0.94) and strong agreement with operational drought thresholds. The validated models were integrated into a five‑agent operational architecture that automates data acquisition, model selection, prediction, threshold monitoring, verification, literature retrieval, and reporting.
By Pramod Lekhak, Chetan Sharma, Hakan Ba\c{s}a\u{g}ao\u{g}lu, F. Paul Bertetti, Debaditya Chakraborty
arXiv:2609.22702v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Accurate flood forecasts several days in advance are essential for flood control, water-resource management, and emergency response. Producing them at...
By Hong Zhang, John K. Hutchison, Rao Kotamarthi, Jeremy Feinstein, Haiwen Guan, Romit Maulik, Vijay P. Ramalingam, Jason Stock, Tom Wall