OutageDiT is a generative foundation model that produces seven‑day power‑outage trajectories at quarter‑hour resolution, trained on nationwide outage and weather data. It uses a condition encoder to process historical context and future covariates, and a shallow flow decoder to generate full trajectories, enabling point forecasting, uncertainty quantification, and conditional event simulation. The model outperforms strong baselines on forecasting benchmarks and can transfer zero‑shot to unseen regions, linking outage simulation to operational planning under uncertainty.
By Yunqin Zhu, Feng Qiu, Yao Xie
arXiv:2607. 16050v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Pluvial (rainfall-driven) flooding accounts for 45% of National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP) claims in the United States and is harder to predict than its riverine and coastal counterparts, with existing approaches limited to coarse resolution, regional domains, or computationally intensive process-based models unsuitable for daily continental-scale use.
By Yuya Kawakami, Daniel Cayan, Dongyu Liu, Kwan-Liu Ma, Tom Corringham
The paper presents a modular, scalable framework for estimating the probability of failure (PoF) of power‑line assets using geospatial machine learning. It integrates diverse environmental predictors—topography, vegetation indices, lightning climatology, proximity features, and operational records—to model vegetation‑ and lightning‑related failure modes. The architecture is designed to be computationally efficient, easily extensible to new data sources, and suitable for large‑scale utility deployment, enabling asset‑level risk stratification for inspection and resilience planning.
By Artur Sokolovsky, Bhavik Merai, Moe Jafari, Muen Chen
arXiv:2606. 08630v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Global wind power capacity, especially in China, is booming, with new farms spanning diverse terrains and climates.
By Jiahui Huang, Ao Luo, Lei Liu, Hongwei Zhao, Tengyuan Liu, Ruibo Guo, Bo Wang, Zhao Wang, Bin Li
This study evaluates large language models (LLMs) for predicting weather‑related forced outage risk in a distribution grid using a zero‑shot approach without labeled training data. The task is framed as binary severity classification over 3h, 6h, and 12h horizons, leveraging six years of outage records and high‑resolution weather data from central Texas. Four zero‑shot LLMs are compared to two supervised classifiers under two input settings—current weather observations and forecast data—showing that supervised models lead on macro‑F1 and precision, while newer LLMs achieve competitive scores and offer complementary strengths in reasoning and geographic scalability.
By Christos Petridis, Zoran Obradovic, Mladen Kezunovic
arXiv:2609.14821v1 Announce Type: new
Abstract: Earth system modeling is shifting from task-specific predictors toward foundation models with general spatiotemporal representation capabilities. Altho...
By Ji Lu, Huiran Duan, Bo Zhao, Xianglong Wang, Yiru Fang, Kuo Yang, Xiaoqin Feng, Jianping Gou
arXiv:2608. 12663v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Wildfire susceptibility mapping typically relies on physical variables assembled from multiple remote-sensing, climate, and geospatial products.
By Yuan Zhuang, Sanaa Hobeichi, Peng Shi, Fei Huang
arXiv:2606. 27277v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Earth Observation (EO) forecasting aims to predict future Earth surface dynamics from satellite observations under changing meteorological conditions.
By Junwei Luo, Shuai Yuan, Zhenya Yang, Yansheng Li, Zhe Liu, Hengshuang Zhao
arXiv:2608. 00012v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) are increasingly used to interpret Earth observation data, yet their capability to support real-world disaster emergency response remains insufficiently evaluated.
By Fengxiang Wang, Qiuyang Yu, Yueying Li, Mingshuo Chen, Chengchi Fei, Kaiyi Xu, Lixin Gu, Wangxu Wei, Junchao Gong, Lipeng Ma, Jiong Wang, Fenghua Ling, Wenlong Zhang, Xue Yang, Wenjing Yang, Ben Fei, Long Lan
arXiv:2604. 26634v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Norway's electricity market is heavily dominated by hydropower, but the 2021-2022 energy crisis and stronger integration with Continental Europe have fundamentally altered price formation, reducing the reliability of forecasting models calibrated on historical data.
By My Thi Diem Phan, Trung Tuyen Truong, Hoai Phuong Ha, Dat Thanh Nguyen
The Planetary Prediction Engine (PPE) is an autonomous AI system that transforms natural-language queries into end-to-end geospatial predictions. It automatically retrieves and fuses multimodal datasets from open-web and Earth observation sources, incorporates foundation model embeddings, and searches task‑specific model families with overfitting safeguards. Across multiple domains, PPE outperforms state‑of‑the‑art baselines, improving regression metrics for CDC health indicators, FEMA risk indices, and the Social Vulnerability Index, doubling accuracy for Nigerian food security indicators, and achieving higher recall in Ebola outbreak nowcasting.
By Evelyn Ma, Rama Kumar Pasumarthi, Kishwar Shafin, Mandar Sharma, Mimi Sun, Hamed Sadeghi, Dav M. Ebengo, Mbulayi Onesime, Rouslan Solomakhin, John Wamburu, William Ogallo, Aisha Walcott-Bryant, Sanxing Chen, Arbaaz Muslim, Yael Mayer, Ronald Ho, Roy Lee, Ruth Alcantara, Abdoulaye Diack, Monica Bharel, Lambert Rosique, Jeremy Amez-Droz, Christopher Haire, James Manyika, Yossi Matias, Niv Efron, Gautam Prasad, Shravya Shetty
arXiv:2606. 07780v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Floods are among the most destructive natural hazards, and their increasing frequency under climate change makes satellite-based inundation mapping essential for disaster response.
By Venkatesh Kolluru, Rajat Shinde, Abdelhak Marouane, Caden Helbling, Deepak Shah, Othneil Drew, Iksha Gurung, Manil Maskey, Rahul Ramachandran