The paper introduces a hybrid CNN‑cellular automaton (CNN‑CA) simulator for planning aerial wildfire suppression, trained on six historical fires. It jointly optimizes binary drop decisions and continuous aircraft trajectories while accounting for aircraft constraints, wind drift, and fuel reduction effects of water and retardant. The authors evaluate the method against random, tactical, greedy, and derivative‑free planners, showing significant reductions in simulated fire extent under a 2020 Bear Fire case study, though noting the results are conditional on the frozen simulator and not operational evidence.
arXiv:2606. 11676v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Traditional wildfire models rely on rigid, low-dimensional parameters and static fuel maps, frequently underpredicting fire spread.
arXiv:2609.17763v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Next-day wildfire prediction requires models whose forecasts can be evaluated alongside the assumptions and historical evidence used in their computati...
The study evaluates deep learning surrogates for wildfire spread prediction, training four architectures on 10,584 high‑resolution simulations from Catalonia. Results show that only surface fuel load significantly predicts burn probability, and convolutional models mainly use distance to the fire front while a transformer model emphasizes fuel and terrain. When applied to a new region without retraining, the models still perform reasonably, with only a modest accuracy drop.
arXiv:2607. 07951v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Wildfire smoke events produce extreme PM$_{2.
arXiv:2509. 25017v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Wildfires are among the most severe natural hazards, posing a significant threat to both humans and natural ecosystems.
The paper investigates how to allocate wildfire suppression resources over time on a graph-based landscape model. It proves the problem and two variants are strongly NP-complete on planar graphs and weighted directed grids, and remains hard even when all resources are released simultaneously. The authors introduce a new mixed-integer programming formulation that outperforms previous methods, and present a physics‑grounded instance generator based on Rothermel's model to benchmark algorithms on realistic scenarios.
arXiv:2606. 17739v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Robotics are expected to support environmental monitoring and natural disaster management, where decisions must be made under uncertainty, resource limitations, and strict operational constraints.
The article introduces an open image dataset for active‑fire segmentation in satellite imagery, comprising 2,148 image‑mask pairs from 25 California wildfires captured between July 2020 and August 2026. Each 512×512 pixel, three‑channel image is a Sentinel‑2 Level‑2A composite of bands B12, B11, and B8A, with a fixed linear rendering applied uniformly. Masks distinguish background, short‑wave‑infrared rule‑based active fire, and invalid observations, and the dataset includes chip‑level metadata, an incident‑disjoint split, and a mask‑blind analyst review of 233 test chips.
Satellite mega-constellations are emerging as large-scale sensing, communication, and computation fabrics, yet their learning architectures remain largely inherited from terrestrial federated learning...
arXiv:2608. 05265v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Prediction of post-wildfire debris flows is critical for mitigating hazards to communities, infrastructure, and resources during intense rainfall in recently burned areas.
The paper introduces a heterogeneous federated learning approach using the FractalNet architecture tailored for satellite mega‑constellations. It formalizes contact‑window‑constrained, depth‑heterogeneous optimization and proposes a distributed path scheduler that assigns model depth based on satellite SWAP‑C constraints, predicted contacts, and training statistics. The framework includes periodic update pooling and a three‑tier agentic control plane, and is validated through a wildfire detection case study across LEO, MEO, and GEO/HEO shells, demonstrating improvements in convergence, communication efficiency, energy adaptation, and robustness.
arXiv:2509. 09195v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Current evaluation metrics for deep learning weather models create a "Statistical Similarity Trap", rewarding blurry predictions while missing rare, high-impact events.