arXiv Machine Learning By Spyros Kondylatos, Nikolas Papadopoulos, Gustau Camps-Valls, Ioannis Papoutsis

Uncertainty-Aware Deep Learning for Wildfire Danger Forecasting

Read the original on arXiv Machine Learning →

arXiv:2509. 25017v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Wildfires are among the most severe natural hazards, posing a significant threat to both humans and natural ecosystems.

Summary generated by The Flow from the publisher's feed. The full article lives at arXiv Machine Learning.

arXiv AI
Aug 6

Risk Is Not the Target: A Monotonic Framework for Evaluating Wildfire Operational Risk Signals

arXiv:2607. 21597v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Evaluating wildfire risk systems using standard machine-learning metrics such as F1-score or IoU is fundamentally flawed: these metrics assess event prediction accuracy, not the operational coherence of a continuous risk signal.

By Nicolas Caron, Christophe Guyeux, Hassan Noura, Maxime Coulmeau, Benjamin Aynes
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 7

Evaluating Machine Learning Models for Post-Wildfire Debris-Flow Prediction

arXiv:2608. 05265v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Prediction of post-wildfire debris flows is critical for mitigating hazards to communities, infrastructure, and resources during intense rainfall in recently burned areas.

By Quinn Ledingham, Zhengsen Xu, Yimin Zhu, Zack Dewis, Mabel Heffring, Saeid Taleghanidoozdoozan, Motasem Alkayid, Megan Greenwood, Lincoln Linlin Xu
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 13

Enhancing AI and Dynamical Subseasonal Forecasts with Probabilistic Bias Correction

arXiv:2604. 16238v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Decision-makers rely on weather forecasts to plant crops, manage wildfires, allocate water and energy, and prepare for weather extremes.

By Hannah Guan, Soukayna Mouatadid, Paulo Orenstein, Judah Cohen, Haiyu Dong, Zekun Ni, Jeremy Berman, Genevieve Flaspohler, Alex Lu, Jakob Schloer, Joshua Talib, Jonathan A. Weyn, Lester Mackey