How do LLMs Compute Verbal Confidence
arXiv:2603.17839v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Verbal confidence -- prompting LLMs to state their confidence as a number or category -- is widely used to extract uncertainty estimates from...
Model releases, architecture work and prompting research on large language models — from frontier-lab announcements to the arXiv papers behind them.
arXiv:2603.17839v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Verbal confidence -- prompting LLMs to state their confidence as a number or category -- is widely used to extract uncertainty estimates from...
arXiv:2604.27167v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: On the named Prisoner's Dilemma under direct prompting, three larger instruction-tuned models, Llama-3-70B, Qwen2.5-32B, and Qwen2.5-72B, loc...
arXiv:2607.08837v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Exploration is essential to RL since a policy cannot improve by repeatedly sampling the behaviors it already prefers. Standard methods inject...
arXiv:2609.21039v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: A pervasive structural pattern in modern deep learning is the linear factorization block: a submodule of the form $W = BA$ in which two parameter matri...
arXiv:2609.21172v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) are moving onto mobile devices for increasingly diverse workloads over text, images, video, and audio. These applications...
arXiv:2609.21382v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Operators of service-based systems act on forecasts of how a running execution will continue, and such a forecast is actionable only if its reliability...
arXiv:2609.21450v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Post-training weight-activation quantization reduces the memory and inference costs of large language models, but aggressive W4A4 quantization remains...
arXiv:2609.21533v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: LLM-based multi-agent systems generate collaboration traces that record how agents plan tasks, verify intermediate results, and repair failures. Reusin...
arXiv:2609.21899v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Best-of-$n$ (BoN) sampling is a simple yet effective inference-time alignment method, but hard maximization provides only coarse control over the trade...
arXiv:2609.21932v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Joint remaining useful life (RUL) prediction and capacity estimation require representations of both gradual degradation and recent battery behavior. T...
arXiv:2609.20973v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Complex problem solving (CPS) with large language models (LLMs) is often framed as a matter of stronger reasoning or longer generation. Yet early-ste...
arXiv:2609.21277v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: How many human judgments does a panel of language models represent? The answer depends on what is matched. We audit categorical judge panels against...
arXiv:2609.21363v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Multimodal large reasoning models (MLRMs) have demonstrated remarkable capabilities in complex visual understanding. However, this very power introdu...
arXiv:2609.21383v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Depth-recurrent language models refine predictions through repeated latent updates. Why can intermediate answers agree with the endpoint while their...
arXiv:2509.24789v5 Announce Type: replace Abstract: The evaluation of time series forecasting models is hindered by a lack of high-quality benchmarks, leading to overestimated assessments of progress...
arXiv:2609.20849v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large Audio Language Models (LALMs) perform well on complex question answering but often show a reasoning gap, where explicit Chain-of-Thought (CoT) re...
arXiv:2609.20850v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: While Multimodal Large Language Models (MLLMs) show remarkable advancements, their cross-modal capabilities introduce complex vulnerabilities that easi...
arXiv:2609.22038v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We introduce QuranicMMLU, a benchmark for evaluating generative AI on Quranic Arabic across multiple dimensions of linguistic complexity. Existing Qura...
arXiv:2609.21859v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Nearly 90% of drugs entering clinical development ultimately fail, despite billions of dollars in investment. Pharmaceutical companies therefore rely o...
arXiv:2609.22000v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Computer-use agents (CUAs) have advanced along two separate lines: graphical interaction and software development through code and the command line. Re...