arXiv Machine Learning By Kaizhen Li, Xi Zhou, Zihao Wang, Dan Zhang, Jianjian Liu, Xiaowei Li

Reliability-aware short-term roll prediction for unmanned surface vehicles via multi-task learning and adaptive centralization

Read the original on arXiv Machine Learning →

The paper introduces a reliability‑aware short‑term roll prediction framework for unmanned surface vehicles (USVs) that combines a multi‑task learning architecture with an adaptive centralization strategy. The model uses a shared backbone to feed a regression head for precise roll prediction and a quantification head for confidence scoring, enabling accurate predictions alongside reliability estimates. Experiments on a real‑sea dataset show that the approach effectively quantifies prediction reliability and generalizes well across varying operational conditions.

Machine-generated by The Flow from the publisher's headline and feed description — not written or checked by a human. The full article lives at arXiv Machine Learning.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 5

Trust-Aware Predictive Emissions Monitoring for Gas Turbine Fleets with Limited Labelled Data

arXiv:2606. 06156v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Machine learning-based predictive emissions monitoring systems offer a practical alternative to direct emissions measurement, but their deployment across gas turbine fleets is challenging when emissions labels are available for only a small subset of assets.

By Rebecca Potts, Aiden Durrant, Rick Hackney, Georgios Leontidis
arXiv AI
Sep 12

Calibration-Aware Uncertainty Cascades for Efficient Heterogeneous Model Collaboration

The paper introduces Calibration-Aware Uncertainty Cascades (CAUC), a post‑hoc framework that calibrates each model’s confidence independently and uses these calibrated scores to decide when to accept an early prediction, invoke a stronger model, or combine outputs. CAUC establishes a common reliability scale across heterogeneous models, decoupling deployment policies from specific model pools or budgets. Experiments on six language benchmarks show a 1.9% relative accuracy gain over strong‑model‑only inference while cutting strong‑model calls by about 47%, and on image classification it maintains or improves performance while reducing GFLOPs by up to 57%.

By Yilin Zhang, Han Jiang, Cai Xu, Ying Liu, Wei Zhao
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 11

M3-Former: Multimodal Transformer with Mixture-of-Experts for Long-Term Vessel Trajectory Prediction

M3-Former is a multimodal transformer framework that uses large language models to encode vessel static attributes and navigational intent as semantic priors for long‑term trajectory prediction. It builds a unified multimodal representation space, aligns static semantic information with dynamic trajectory features via self‑attention, and employs a dual‑granularity Mixture‑of‑Experts architecture to capture both global route planning and fine‑grained maneuvering behaviors. A Steering‑Weighted Cross‑Entropy loss further improves accuracy on sparse turning events, and experiments on a Danish AIS dataset show consistent improvements over state‑of‑the‑art baselines, reducing ADE and FDE by up to 5.1% in 4‑hour predictions.

By Wenzhe Jin, Haina Tang