arXiv Machine Learning

Trust-Aware Predictive Emissions Monitoring for Gas Turbine Fleets with Limited Labelled Data

arXiv:2606. 06156v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Machine learning-based predictive emissions monitoring systems offer a practical alternative to direct emissions measurement, but their deployment across gas turbine fleets is challenging when emissions labels are available for only a small subset of assets.

arXiv Machine Learning
1d ago

Reliability-aware short-term roll prediction for unmanned surface vehicles via multi-task learning and adaptive centralization

The paper introduces a reliability‑aware short‑term roll prediction framework for unmanned surface vehicles (USVs) that combines a multi‑task learning architecture with an adaptive centralization strategy. The model uses a shared backbone to feed a regression head for precise roll prediction and a quantification head for confidence scoring, enabling accurate predictions alongside reliability estimates. Experiments on a real‑sea dataset show that the approach effectively quantifies prediction reliability and generalizes well across varying operational conditions.

By Kaizhen Li, Xi Zhou, Zihao Wang, Dan Zhang, Jianjian Liu, Xiaowei Li
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 14

PLSP (Pre-hoc Liminal Space Profiling): OOD Prediction over Detection -- An Anticipatory Approach for Machine Learning Model Reliability

The paper introduces PLSP (Pre-hoc Liminal Space Profiling), an anticipatory framework for predicting out-of-distribution (OOD) data before inference. It proposes a dataset‑independent metric called the CREDibility Score (CREDS) and introduces credibility curves and heat maps to analyze a model’s maximum credibility and behavior across datasets. Experiments on multiple datasets show that CREDS can improve model robustness to OOD prediction.

By Vipul Bansal, Himanshu Buckchash, Balasubramanian Raman, Deepak Dhungana
arXiv Machine Learning
1d ago

Uncertainty-Aware Learning from Multi-Expert Interval Targets

The paper introduces a method for learning from multiple experts who provide interval labels, addressing both within‑label imprecision and between‑expert variation. It harmonizes diverse label vocabularies into a shared probabilistic space, retains individual intervals using a mixture of Beta distributions, and decomposes predictive uncertainty into components that are matched to their corresponding sources of label uncertainty. On sea‑ice concentration data, the approach achieves a 31% reduction in mean absolute error compared to hard‑label baselines and outperforms several aggregation and interval‑regression methods.

By Samira Alkaee Taleghan, Younghyun Koo, Andrew P. Barrett, Farnoush Banaei-Kashani