arXiv:2607. 26492v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The Mass-Conserving Perceptron (MCP) establishes a modeling paradigm in which conceptual hydrologic models can be reformulated as physically constrained, conceptually interpretable neural networks.
By Yuan-Heng Wang, Hoshin V. Gupta
arXiv:2510. 02605v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: While many modern studies are dedicated to ML-based large-sample hydrologic modeling, these efforts have not necessarily translated into predictive improvements that are grounded in enhanced physical-conceptual understanding.
By Yuan-Heng Wang, Yang Yang, Fabio Ciulla, Hoshin V. Gupta, Charuleka Varadharajan
The study investigates whether a physically grounded, low‑dimensional catchment model can rival the predictive accuracy of neural networks. By applying three fundamental hydrological laws—conservation, dissipation, and aggregation—to a lumped model, the authors develop CaRT and its refined version CaRT+, which uses 14 states and 35 parameters per catchment. Across 602 British, 593 US, and 505 Australian gauged catchments, CaRT+ achieves median Nash‑Sutcliffe efficiencies comparable to state‑of‑the‑art LSTM models, demonstrating that process‑based laws can match deep‑learning performance.
By Xilin Xia
arXiv:2603.25779v2 Announce Type: replace-cross
Abstract: Groundwater represents a key element of the water cycle, yet it exhibits complex and context-dependent relationships that make its modeling c...
By Matteo Salis, Gabriele Sartor, Rosa Meo, Stefano Ferraris, Abdourrahmane M. Atto
arXiv:2606. 04143v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Accurate flood forecasting is essential for mitigating disaster risks and protecting communities.
By Tewodros Syum Gebre, Jagrati Talreja, Leila Hashemi-Beni
The study presents a deployment‑aware framework for forecasting spring discharge and groundwater levels in the Edwards Aquifer over 1‑12 week horizons using 79 years of hydroclimatic data. Five machine‑learning families—extreme gradient boosting, extremely randomized trees, LSTM, CNN, and Transformers—were compared, with extreme gradient boosting consistently delivering the highest reliability (R² ≥ 0.94) and strong agreement with operational drought thresholds. The validated models were integrated into a five‑agent operational architecture that automates data acquisition, model selection, prediction, threshold monitoring, verification, literature retrieval, and reporting.
By Pramod Lekhak, Chetan Sharma, Hakan Ba\c{s}a\u{g}ao\u{g}lu, F. Paul Bertetti, Debaditya Chakraborty