Probabilistic model checking for Markov decision processes (MDPs) provides quantitative guarantees, but often offers limited insight into why undesired outcomes occur. Probability-raising (PR) causality addresses this by identifying states whose visitation increases the probability of reaching designated states.
arXiv:2606. 29681v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Probabilistic model checking for Markov decision processes (MDPs) provides quantitative guarantees, but often offers limited insight into why undesired outcomes occur.
By Ryohei Oura, Georgios Fainekos, Hideki Okamoto, Bardh Hoxha
arXiv:2511. 19849v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Recurrence objectives, where a target region must be visited infinitely often, are a fundamental class of specifications for Markov decision processes (MDPs) and form the core of $\omega$-regular and linear temporal logic (LTL) objectives.
By Dominik Wagner, Leon Witzman, Luke Ong
arXiv:2510. 27544v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Current training paradigms, optimized for long-horizon reasoning trace execution, have made Large Language Models (LLMs) excel at pattern matching and forward simulation of reasoning, but underperform at counterfactual causal understanding and reasoning.
By Nikolaus Holzer, William Fishell, Baishakhi Ray, Mark Santolucito
arXiv:2603. 06946v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Many distributional quantities in reinforcement learning are intrinsically joint across actions, including distributions of gaps and probabilities of superiority.
By Ege C. Kaya, Mahsa Ghasemi, Abolfazl Hashemi
arXiv:2607. 16717v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: This paper proposes a causal independence principle for value -- the value Causal Markov Condition (v-CMC) -- and develops the conceptual and mathematical foundations of a "causal value theory" linking causality and utility.
By Olav Benjamin Vassend
arXiv:2608. 15645v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Transporting a causal conclusion from a source study population to a target one is a fundamental problem in causal inference.
By Yorgos Felekis, Paris Giampouras, Fabio Massimo Zennaro, Theodoros Damoulas
arXiv:2602. 23545v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: In the real world, planning is often challenged by distribution shifts.
By Matteo Ceriscioli, Karthika Mohan
arXiv:2606. 07017v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Foundation model agents are increasingly deployed for real-world decision-making, but suffer from the sim-to-real gap.
By Xiaoou Liu, Tiejin Chen, Weibo Li, Xiyang Hu, Hua Wei
arXiv:2606. 00427v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: State abstraction in reinforcement learning is usually formulated as a partition of states based on reward and transition similarity.
By Ibne Farabi Shihab, Sanjeda Akter, Anuj Sharma
arXiv:2606. 24160v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Causal inference provides a set of principles and tools that allow one to combine data and knowledge about an environment to reason with questions of counterfactual nature, i.
By Elias Bareinboim, Junzhe Zhang, Sanghack Lee
arXiv:2607. 00267v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: A central goal of science is to produce valid explanations of complex systems: high-level causal accounts that faithfully reflect the behavior of lower-level mechanisms.
By Maxime M\'eloux, Tiago Pimentel, Fran\c{c}ois Portet, Maxime Peyrard