arXiv:2605. 29208v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We describe libhmm, a C++20 library for Hidden Markov Model parameter estimation, sequence decoding, and model selection.
arXiv:2608. 06554v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are widely used probabilistic models for discrete sequential data but can be limited when hidden dynamics are complex.
arXiv:2607. 03809v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Normalising flows provide a powerful variational family for approximate inference, yet individual architectures often fail to generalise across heterogeneous posterior geometries.
arXiv:2606. 00219v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We are witnessing a surge in observations of the cosmic dawn (CD) and epoch of reionisation (EoR), driving an increasing demand for fast and robust theoretical interpretation frameworks.
arXiv:2504. 01894v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We present a bifidelity method for uncertainty quantification of parameter estimates in complex systems, leveraging generative models trained to sample the target conditional distribution.
arXiv:2604. 07520v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: These lecture notes provide a comprehensive framework for performing global statistical fits in high-energy physics using modern Machine Learning (ML) surrogates.
arXiv:2606. 17014v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Joint prediction sets for multivariate time series should control a single event while adapting to cross-coordinate dependence.
arXiv:2604. 08648v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We motivate the use of differentiable probabilistic programming techniques in order to account for the large model-space inherent to astrophysical $\gamma$-ray analyses.
arXiv:2607. 19380v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Remaining useful life (RUL) prediction estimates how long an engine can continue safe operation and is central to maintenance planning.
arXiv:2607. 19379v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Prior work has shown that transformers can perform exact Bayesian filtering within a fixed hypothesis class.
arXiv:2607. 07008v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: A common method for the representation and analysis of time-series data is the hidden Markov model (HMM), where each observation is associated with a hidden state that evolves over time.
arXiv:2606. 02909v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Gradient observations can substantially improve Gaussian process (GP) surrogates, particularly in high-dimensional settings where function evaluations are expensive.
arXiv:2111. 10722v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We propose a novel deterministic sampling method, EVI-MMD, to approximate a target distribution $\rho^*$ by minimizing the kernel discrepancy, also known as the Maximum Mean Discrepancy (MMD).