arXiv:2608. 11544v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We propose CVaR-penalized Generative Particle Algorithm (CVaR-GPA), a robust, tail-agnostic algorithm for fine-tuning generative models to learn heavy-tailed distributions and capture extreme events, requiring no prior knowledge or estimation of the target's tail characteristics.
By Thejani Gamage, Hyemin Gu, Zhizhen Zhang, Ziyu Chen, Markos Katsoulakis, Luc Rey-Bellet
arXiv:2605. 08446v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Bayesian neural networks are typically trained against the evidence lower bound (ELBO), whose Jensen gap closes only when the variational posterior is exact.
By Pavel Prochazka
arXiv:2606. 30489v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Normalizing Flows excel at modeling a single fixed density, yet many problems across the sciences, such as high energy physics, instead require modeling how that density deforms as a function of continuous parameters: the strength of a physical effect, a calibration constant, or a source of systematic uncertainty.
By Davide Valsecchi, Mauro Doneg\`a, Rainer Wallny
arXiv:2605. 12951v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We propose Coreset-Induced Conditional Velocity Flow Matching (CCVFM), a generative model that augments hierarchical rectified flow with a data-informed source distribution.
By Xiao Wang, Zihua She, Jianxi Su
arXiv:2510. 12744v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: We develop a unified statistical framework for softmax-gated Gaussian mixture of experts (SGMoE) that addresses three long-standing obstacles in parameter estimation and model selection: (i) non-identifiability of gating parameters up to common translations, (ii) intrinsic gate-expert interactions that induce coupled differential relations in the likelihood, and (iii) the tight numerator-denominator coupling in the softmax-induced conditional density.
By Do Tien Hai, Trung Nguyen Mai, TrungTin Nguyen, Nhat Ho, Binh T. Nguyen, Christopher Drovandi
arXiv:2606. 01078v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Transport MCMC trains a normalizing flow to precondition Metropolis--Hastings proposals, achieving high empirical efficiency on challenging posteriors; yet no prior work produces a numerically non-vacuous, rigorous spectral-gap bound for such samplers.
By Jun Hu
arXiv:2606. 15871v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Bayesian inference for inverse problems is run to evaluate integrals -- posterior expectations, tail probabilities, and risks -- across a stream of observations.
By Ali Siahkoohi
arXiv:2512. 04954v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: We present a novel technique for amortized posterior estimation using Normalizing Flows trained with likelihood-weighted importance sampling.
By Rajneil Baruah
arXiv:2606. 03820v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We develop a quantitative approximation framework for diffusion distillation, viewing few-step sampling as error propagation under compositions of learned flow maps.
By Weiguo Gao, Ming Li, Lei Shi, Hanfei Zhou
arXiv:2512. 24780v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Neural networks trained with standard objectives exhibit behaviors characteristic of probabilistic inference: soft clustering, prototype specialization, and Bayesian uncertainty tracking.
By Alan Oursland
arXiv:2607. 24583v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Large scale Bayesian nonparametrics (BNP) learner such as Stochastic Variational Inference (SVI) can handle datasets with large class number and large training size at fractional cost.
By Kart-Leong Lim
arXiv:2601. 21026v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Sampling configurations at thermodynamic equilibrium is a central challenge in statistical physics.
By Louis Grenioux, Maxence Noble