arXiv:2606. 31184v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Adaptive experiments for average treatment effects (ATE) require randomized allocations balancing valid inference with statistical efficiency.
arXiv:2606. 25197v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Learning effective policies for adaptive data acquisition remains challenging: posterior-based methods rely on surrogate models and posterior approximations that can be misspecified or biased, while direct policy-learning methods map from historical observations and fail to exploit available model representations, making learning harder.
arXiv:2607. 28408v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: This thesis studies policy learning in interactive systems where an agent observes a context, selects an action from a very large set, and receives partial feedback.
arXiv:2610.02140v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Introducing new capabilities to frontier models has long been the goal of posttraining, which predominantly employs supervised finetuning (SFT) and r...
Hierarchical data is ubiquitous in the empirical sciences and is most commonly analyzed with generalized linear mixed-effects models (GLMMs). Bayesian inference for GLMMs yields calibrated uncertainty...
arXiv:2602. 23672v2 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: This study proposes a General Bayes framework for policy learning.
arXiv:2610.01269v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Bayesian Optimisation (BO) is a powerful framework for the optimisation of expensive black-box functions, but typically requires refitting a surrogat...
arXiv:2605. 15133v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Causal inference, estimating causal effects from observational data, is a fundamental tool in many disciplines.
arXiv:2607. 18804v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In the \emph{latent posterior model} of transformer behavior, the next-token distribution arises from a posterior over latent predictive models conditioned on the context, mixed to generate continuations.
The paper introduces Bidirectional Behavior Prior Distillation (B2PD), a method that uses action‑value priors to train a conditional variational autoencoder for generating high‑value behavior support. These expert behavior priors are then distilled into the online reinforcement learning agent, reducing inefficient exploration and stabilizing policy updates. Experiments on state‑ and pixel‑based tasks show that B2PD improves sample efficiency while maintaining stable learning dynamics.
The paper tackles two shortcomings of Gaussian‑process based active learning: (1) the posterior variance is independent of observed values, reducing sensitivity to data structure, and (2) it over‑inflates variance near domain boundaries, causing excessive edge sampling. The authors propose a reconstruction‑driven design density that warps sampling toward regions where the posterior mean changes rapidly, and a geometric equalizer that corrects boundary bias. Experiments on sixteen synthetic and two real‑data benchmarks show that the equalizer consistently improves function reconstruction, while the warp further enhances performance by concentrating measurements where the target function varies most.
arXiv:2609.24422v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Hierarchical data is ubiquitous in the empirical sciences and is most commonly analyzed with generalized linear mixed-effects models (GLMMs). Bayesian...
arXiv:2609.39525v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Casting Bayesian inference as a neural network optimization problem targeting an amortized posterior is attractive, as it extends to otherwise intracta...