arXiv AI

Transformers as Bayesian In-Context Experimenters: Smoothness-Adaptive Efficient ATE Estimation

arXiv:2606. 31184v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Adaptive experiments for average treatment effects (ATE) require randomized allocations balancing valid inference with statistical efficiency.

arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 25

Efficient Adaptive Data Acquisition via Pretrained Belief Representations

arXiv:2606. 25197v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Learning effective policies for adaptive data acquisition remains challenging: posterior-based methods rely on surrogate models and posterior approximations that can be misspecified or biased, while direct policy-learning methods map from historical observations and fail to exploit available model representations, making learning harder.

By Daolang Huang, Zhuoyue Huang, Conor Hassan, Luigi Acerbi, Samuel Kaski, Tom Rainforth
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 7

Induction Heads Interpolate N-Grams

arXiv:2607. 02800v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Induction heads are attention circuits believed to underlie in-context learning in transformers, yet a precise characterization of the estimators they implement remains elusive.

By Francesco D'Angelo, Oguz Kaan Yuksel, Swathi Shree Narashiman, Nicolas Flammarion
arXiv AI
Jul 7

Amortising Bayesian Experimental Design for Sequential Information Gathering in LLMs

arXiv:2607. 03426v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: Large language models (LLMs) exhibit strong reasoning and world-knowledge capabilities, yet often struggle to gather information effectively across the multi-turn interactions required in sequential decision-making settings.

By Jakob Hartmann, James Harvey, Jhonathan Navott, Erik Y. Wang, Luckeciano C. Melo, Flaviu Cipcigan, Cheng Zhang, Alessandro Abate