arXiv Machine Learning

Generating Input Distributions for Explaining Portfolio Optimization Pipelines

arXiv:2606. 25808v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: We propose a predict-optimize-explain framework that uses gradient-based sample generation to interpret various portfolio models by identifying macroeconomic conditions that induce specified portfolio outcomes.

arXiv AI
Jun 3

Dynamic Objective Selection with Safeguards and LLM Oversight for Financial Decision-Making

arXiv:2606. 03704v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Financial decision-making tasks such as stock recommendation and portfolio allocation typically estimate future return and risk and then select trades or allocations for an investor, and the chosen optimization objective often determines realized performance.

By Keigo Sakurai, Takahiro Ogawa, Miki Haseyama, Anjyu Anan, Kei Nakagawa
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 16

Foundation Models for Credit Risk Prediction: A Game Changer?

arXiv:2605. 18147v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Predictive models play a pivotal role in credit risk management, guiding critical decisions through accurate estimation of default probabilities and losses.

By Bart Baesens, Andreas Goethals, Stefan Lessmann, Simon De Vos, Cristi\'an Bravo, David Martens, Victor Medina-Olivares, Christophe Mues, Maria Oskarsd\'ottir, Seppe vanden Broucke, Tony Van Gestel, Tim Verdonck, Wouter Verbeke
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 2

Decision-focused Sparse Tangent Portfolio Optimization

arXiv:2607. 00581v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Sparse tangent portfolio optimization aims to learn an interpretable, low-cardinality portfolio in the tangency direction of the mean-variance frontier.

By Haeun Jeon, Seunghoon Choi, Hyunglip Bae, Yongjae Lee, Woo Chang Kim
arXiv AI
Jun 10

A Unified Multi-Modal Framework for Intelligent Financial Systems: Integrating Reinforcement Learning, High-Frequency Trading, and Game-Theoretic Approaches with Cross-Modal Sentiment Analysis

arXiv:2606. 10412v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The rapid evolution of financial technology demands sophisticated artificial intelligence systems capable of handling diverse challenges across multiple domains simultaneously.

By Fanrong Liu, Zhang Yuwei, Mingni Luo
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 27

Smart predict-then-robustly-optimize

arXiv:2607. 21773v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In this paper, we propose and study a robust variant of the smart predict-then-optimize approach that accounts for prediction shifts due to disturbance in the covariate feature space.

By Aakil Caunhye, Xuefei Lu, Belen Martin-Barragan
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 2

FinTSB: A Comprehensive and Practical Benchmark for Financial Time Series Forecasting

arXiv:2502. 18834v3 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Financial time series (FinTS) record the behavior of human-brain-augmented decision-making, capturing valuable historical information that can be leveraged for profitable investment strategies.

By Yifan Hu, Yuante Li, Peiyuan Liu, Yuxia Zhu, Naiqi Li, Tao Dai, Shu-tao Xia, Dawei Cheng, Changjun Jiang