arXiv Machine Learning

The Label Horizon Paradox: Rethinking Supervision Targets in Financial Forecasting

arXiv:2602. 03395v4 Announce Type: replace Abstract: While deep learning has revolutionized financial forecasting through sophisticated architectures, the design of the supervision signal itself is rarely scrutinized.

arXiv AI
Jun 10

A Unified Multi-Modal Framework for Intelligent Financial Systems: Integrating Reinforcement Learning, High-Frequency Trading, and Game-Theoretic Approaches with Cross-Modal Sentiment Analysis

arXiv:2606. 10412v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: The rapid evolution of financial technology demands sophisticated artificial intelligence systems capable of handling diverse challenges across multiple domains simultaneously.

By Fanrong Liu, Zhang Yuwei, Mingni Luo
arXiv AI
2d ago

Forecast Collapse in Time-Series Foundation Models

arXiv:2608. 14106v1 Announce Type: cross Abstract: When forecasting hourly returns for 1,000 US equities, we observe an unexpected phenomenon: predictions become nearly flat and show poor stock ranking, as measured by cross-sectional correlation.

By Shu Wan, Miles Ma, Hank Zhu, Guangqi Liu, Stephen Wang, Qingsong Wen, Huan Liu