arXiv AI

Rolling Day-Wise Mortality Prediction in Critically Ill Patients With AKI on CRRT Utilizing Machine Pressure Waveforms

This study develops a rolling day‑wise mortality prediction model for critically ill patients with acute kidney injury on continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) by incorporating minute‑level machine pressure waveforms alongside electronic health record (EHR) data. After cleaning the raw machine data—aligning it with therapy intervals, removing priming and downtime minutes, and denoising artifacts—the authors trained a transformer‑based stacked ensemble that fuses a sequence transformer with classical models using circuit‑instability features and clinical variables. In a multi‑center benchmark of 976 patients, the combined model achieved a one‑day mortality AUROC of 0.766, outperforming machine‑only (0.625) and EHR‑only (0.717) models, and SHAP analysis highlighted key pressure‑related features such as filter pressure, transmembrane pressure, and access‑to‑return difference. whyItMatters":"By integrating previously discarded CRRT machine data, the study provides a continuous, real‑time risk signal that could enable earlier detection of patient deterioration and improve mortality prediction in a high‑risk population."

arXiv AI
Aug 7

Trajectory-guided discharge stratification for heart failure using short-context electronic health record sequence modeling

arXiv:2511. 16839v4 Announce Type: replace-cross Abstract: Purpose: Heart failure (HF) discharge planning depends on identifying patients at risk of deterioration or death, yet accurate prediction from routinely collected electronic health records (EHRs) remains challenging.

By Falk Dippel, Yinan Yu, Annika Rosengren, Martin Lindgren, Christina E. Lundberg, Erik Aerts, Martin Adiels, Helen Sj\"oland
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 4

A Multidimensional Data-Driven Hybrid Transformer Framework for Non-invasive Continuous Blood Pressure Prediction

The paper presents a hybrid Transformer framework that estimates non‑invasive continuous blood pressure from ECG/PPG‑derived feature sequences. It models 10‑step sequences of six physiological descriptors and two demographic covariates, combining Transformer, Kolmogorov‑Arnold Network, and XGBoost modules, and uses a dynamic fusion decoder to predict diastolic and systolic BP. On a large MIMIC‑III dataset, the model achieved mean errors of 0.41 mmHg (diastolic) and –1.60 mmHg (systolic) with high accuracy within 10 mmHg for most predictions.

By Yuexin Ma, Jingqi Hou, Yuxuan Kang, Zhaoying Liu
arXiv Machine Learning
Aug 4

Development and Validation of a Dynamic Kidney Failure Prediction Model based on Deep Learning: A Real-World Study with External Validation

arXiv:2501. 16388v3 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Background: Chronic kidney disease (CKD), a progressive disease with high morbidity and mortality, has become a significant global public health problem.

By Jingying Ma, Jinwei Wang, Lanlan Lu, Zhiqin Jiang, Mengling Feng, Feifei Zhang, Peng Shen, Yexiang Sun, Shenda Hong, Luxia Zhang
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 20

CardioMeta: Calibrated Multi-Task Prediction of Diabetes, Hypertension, and Cardiovascular Disease Across Population and EHR Data

arXiv:2607. 15721v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Cardiometabolic diseases remain among the most persistent drivers of preventable morbidity because diabetes, hypertension, and cardiovascular disease frequently co-occur and share metabolic, vascular, demographic, and behavioral determinants.

By S M Asif Hossain, Ruksat Khan Shayoni, M. F. Mridha, Jungpil Shin
arXiv Machine Learning
Jul 27

Autoregressive EHR Foundation Models with Multimodal Inputs

arXiv:2607. 22264v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Autoregressive foundation models trained on tokenized electronic health records (EHRs) can support zero-shot clinical prediction, yet most operate on structured event codes alone, and do not incorporate multiple modalities in a principled way.

By Yuxuan Liu, Joshua Placidi, Jinpei Han, Alfred John Balston, Marek Rei, A. Aldo Faisal
arXiv AI
Sep 1

INTERVenE: Temporal-Abstraction-Interval Based Transformers for Short-Horizon Medical Event Prediction

INTERVenE introduces Transformer models that use a knowledge‑based temporal abstraction (KBTA) token stream of named clinical concepts instead of raw measurements, enabling per‑token attributions to resolve directly to clinical concepts. Two variants are offered: an auto‑regressive decoder that generates future abstraction trajectories with step‑wise risk readouts, and a bidirectional encoder that jointly predicts risk and time‑to‑event in a single pass. On 57,078 MIMIC‑IV admissions, the encoder variant outperforms neural baselines with a support‑weighted AUPRC of 0.672 and AUROC of 0.901, while the decoder provides complementary token‑level risk trajectories.

By Shahar Oded, Yuval Shahar
arXiv AI
Aug 24

Curriculum-Aware Interpolate-then-Refine: Learned Physiological Time-Series Imputation under Realistic Missingness

The paper introduces Curriculum‑Aware Interpolate‑then‑Refine (CAIR), a two‑stage framework for imputing physiological time‑series data. CAIR first learns a coarse base curve with a bidirectional‑GRU interpolator and then refines it through three Transformer passes, trained under a random‑gap curriculum that mimics realistic missingness. Evaluations on continuous glucose monitoring and arterial pressure datasets show CAIR outperforms all baselines across MCAR, MAR, and NMAR mechanisms, especially for long gaps and value‑dependent dropout, while also preserving clinically relevant burden metrics.

By Yu-Chao Huang, Haochen Zhang, Nicholas Konz, Tianlong Chen