arXiv AI

Shaping the Prior: How Synthetic Task Distributions Determine Tabular Foundation Model Quality

arXiv AI
Sep 10

From Synthetic Priors to Model Behavior: Structural Coverage in Tabular Foundation Models

The paper investigates how synthetic pretraining priors used in tabular foundation models (TFMs) influence downstream performance. By reconstructing the synthetic data generators of four TFMs and comparing their generated tasks to two popular tabular benchmarks using structural descriptors, the authors measure structural coverage and normalized density. They find that some generators provide broader and denser support for benchmark tasks, and that stronger synthetic-to-benchmark support generally correlates with better model performance.

By He Zhao, Ryan Thompson, Daniel M. Steinberg, Ashfaqur Rahman, Edwin V. Bonilla, Cheng Soon Ong
arXiv AI
Jun 9

When Tabular Foundation Models Meet Strategic Tabular Data: A Prior Alignment Approach

arXiv:2605. 19662v2 Announce Type: replace Abstract: Tabular foundation models based on pretrained prior-data fitted networks~(PFNs) have shown strong generalization on diverse tabular tasks, but they are typically designed for \emph{non-strategic} settings where data distributions are independent of deployed classifiers.

By Xinpeng Lv, Yunxin Mao, Renzhe Xu, Chunyuan Zheng, Yikai Chen, Haoxuan Li, Jinxuan Yang, Kun Kuang, Yuanlong Chen, Mingyang Geng, Wanrong Huang, Shixuan Liu, Shaowu Yang, Wenjing Yang, Zhouchen Lin, Haotian Wang
arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 9

Test-Time Compute for Tabular Foundation Models: Mechanisms, Gains, and Limits

The paper investigates how test‑time compute techniques—adaptation, aggregation, and context construction—can improve predictions of pretrained tabular foundation models (TFMs). It introduces DiagScale, a lightweight adaptation method that trains a minuscule fraction of parameters yet matches full fine‑tuning gains, and shows that selective aggregation of predictions from diverse preprocessing variants can reduce error, while broader context expansion offers inconsistent benefits. The study concludes that adaptation and selective aggregation consistently yield benchmark‑level improvements, but their combined use demands more computation, guiding strategy selection based on available resources.

By Kanghui Ning, Marin Bilo\v{s}, James T. Wilson, Yilang Zhang, Kashif Rasul, Dongjin Song, Anderson Schneider, Yuriy Nevmyvaka
arXiv Machine Learning
Jun 2

When Tabular Foundation Models Transfer Across Modalities: A Systematic Evaluation Across 95 Datasets, 7 Modalities, and Two Regimes

arXiv:2606. 02106v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: We present a single classification pipeline that combines an Equiangular Tight Frame (ETF) preprocessing stage with a tabular foundation model for in-context inference, applied identically across modalities once data is mapped to fixed vector representations.

By Julien Lafrance
arXiv Machine Learning
Sep 24

What Do Tabular Foundation Models Compute In Context? In-Situ Representation Refinement through Attention-Gated Updates

The paper introduces RefineICL, an attention‑gated, feed‑forward‑network‑free framework that refines representations in situ for tabular foundation models. By using support labels to guide episode‑specific updates, the method transfers learned corrections to unlabeled queries without altering model parameters, achieving state‑of‑the‑art performance on AMLB29 and TabArena benchmarks. Experiments and internal interventions demonstrate that intermediate support updates are essential for constructing task‑specific predictors in context.

By Tian Zhou, Beverly Jin, Linxiao Yang, Xue Wang, Wenwei Wang, Bingqing Peng, Mengni Ye, Jinjie Gu, Liang Sun
arXiv Machine Learning
Oct 8

Thinking in Depth: Retrospective Inference for Tabular Foundation Models

The paper introduces Retro, a tabular foundation model that uses retrospective inference to revisit and recombine intermediate representations during inference. Retro employs Attention Residuals to select which past information to reuse and query-conditioned Gated Attention to shape the contextual update for each query. Experiments on TabArena, TALENT, and RelArena show Retro achieves top‑three performance and lies on the Pareto frontier, demonstrating that reusing intermediate representations can better exploit depth in tabular foundation models.

By Hao-Run Cai, Si-Yang Liu, Zi-Jian Cheng, Kun-Yang Yu, Jin-Hao Sheng, Guo Yu, Chonghan Liu, Zhi Zhou, Jun-Peng Jiang, Lan-Zhe Guo, Han-Jia Ye